Quiet now. The season usually starts late March
Fire clock
| Year | Harmonized | Raw |
|---|---|---|
| 2001 | 875 | 106 |
| 2002 | 779 | 118 |
| 2003 | 844 | 239 |
| 2004 | 836 | 189 |
| 2005 | 854 | 222 |
| 2006 | 780 | 173 |
| 2007 | 1090 | 264 |
| 2008 | 829 | 189 |
| 2009 | 808 | 195 |
| 2010 | 920 | 241 |
| 2011 | 794 | 174 |
| 2012 | 1084 | 1076 |
| 2013 | 744 | 744 |
| 2014 | 673 | 673 |
| 2015 | 914 | 914 |
| 2016 | 823 | 823 |
| 2017 | 723 | 723 |
| 2018 | 754 | 1442 |
| 2019 | 536 | 1163 |
| 2020 | 688 | 1492 |
| 2021 | 945 | 1946 |
| 2022 | 660 | 1341 |
| 2023 | 731 | 1437 |
| 2024 | 1024 | 2130 |
| 2025 | 944 | 1997 |
| 2026 | 1245 | 4386 |
Tap a week to see the detections behind it.
A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.
November vs a usual year
Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001
Raw satellite data would say 14.8× the usual, because it joins MODIS and VIIRS as they are and VIIRS sees far more small fires. Corrected, it is 2.5×.
Next 7 days
0%
Low
Expected detections: ~17.3
Right now
This week is more active than 96% of past years at this time
What's ahead
Next 7 days
Low~17 expected · usual 4.9
Next 3 months
Quieter than usual
~27 expected · usual 36
likely 1.0–126 · usual 0.0–52
Season
Season
Two-peak season: spring and summer–autumn
Critical windows
early April – mid May
29% of annual activity
late July – late August
15% of annual activity
The normal year vs 2026
25-year history
Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2012 to 6.7× its earlier level (p < 0.001). ODLAR's record has none (p 0.33).
Unusual years
2007
1,090
peak 2.7× stronger than normal
2018
754
season ended 4 weeks early
2019
536
only 0.7× the normal annual activity
2020
688
season began 3 weeks late
season ended 4 weeks late
2026
1,245
1.5× the normal annual activity
season began 3 weeks late
Districts and provinces