Huron

Next 7 daysLow18%

Quiet now. The season usually starts mid April

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: late July – mid September
Record year: 201634
Trend: +4%/ 10not significant · on raw data: +94%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	19	2
2002	15	0
2003	19	6
2004	16	3
2005	14	1
2006	17	4
2007	17	3
2008	19	5
2009	16	3
2010	19	4
2011	17	3
2012	22	22
2013	21	21
2014	12	12
2015	17	17
2016	34	34
2017	23	23
2018	14	27
2019	18	49
2020	22	44
2021	14	27
2022	13	30
2023	12	33
2024	33	60
2025	21	32
2026	19	67

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

Below normal

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

ODLAR

0.00×

usual = 1×

This month: 0.0
Usual (median): 0.2
Rank: 16 of 26

Next 7 days

Low

Full risk view

Low

Expected detections: ~0.7

An active part of the fire season↑
Fires detected in recent days↑
No rain expected in the coming days↑

Sun6°

Mon8°

Tue12°

Wed13°

Thu15°

Fri12°

Sat16°

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Low

~0.7 expected · usual 0.2

Next 3 months

About usual

~0.7 expected · usual 1.8

likely 0.0–4.8 · usual 0.0–1.4

Season

Starts ~12 April
Peak ~19 April

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

mid April – early October

Onset: mid April
Peak: mid April
End: early October

Two-peak season: spring and summer–autumn

Critical windows

late July – mid September
35% of annual activity
mid April – early May
17% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: +4%/10Raw: +94%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2012 to 10.0× its earlier level (p < 0.001). ODLAR's record has none (p 1.00).

Unusual years

13

2007
17
season ended 6 weeks late
2009
16
season began 3 weeks early
2011
17
season ended 5 weeks late
2014
12
season began 12 weeks late
season ended 3 weeks early
2015
17
season ended 6 weeks late
2016
34
2.0× the normal annual activity
peak 2.6× stronger than normal
season ended 3 weeks early
2019
18
season ended 7 weeks early
2020
22
season ended 12 weeks late
2021
14
season began 6 weeks early
2022
13
season began 7 weeks late
season ended 3 weeks early
2023
12
season ended 4 weeks early
2024
33
1.9× the normal annual activity
peak 2.6× stronger than normal
season ended 3 weeks late
2026
19
peak 3.3× stronger than normal
season ended 11 weeks early

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson