Gladwin

Next 7 daysLow0%

Quiet now. The season usually starts mid March

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: mid June – late June
Record year: 20154
Trend: 0%/ 10not significant · on raw data: +58%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	1	0
2002	1	0
2003	1	0
2004	1	1
2005	1	0
2006	1	0
2007	1	0
2008	1	0
2009	1	0
2010	3	2
2011	1	1
2012	1	1
2013	0	0
2014	1	1
2015	4	4
2016	3	3
2017	1	1
2018	1	3
2019	0	0
2020	2	3
2021	1	1
2022	1	6
2023	0	0
2024	0	0
2025	2	4
2026	2	5

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

Quiet, as usual

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

This month: 0.0
Usual (median): 0.0
Rank: 12 of 26

Next 7 days

Low

Full risk view

Low

Expected detections: ~0.0

Vegetation is drying out↑
No rain expected in the coming days↑
Hot weather (13 °C)↑
Outside the fire season↓

Sun7°

Mon10°

Tue13°

Wed14°

Thu15°

Fri14°

Sat16°

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Low

~0.0 expected · usual 0.0

Next 3 months

About usual

~0.0 expected · usual 0.0

likely 0.0–0.3 · usual 0.0–0.0

Season

Starts ~15 March
Peak ~21 June

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

mid March – mid October

Onset: mid March
Peak: late June
End: mid October

Two-peak season: spring and summer–autumn

Critical windows

mid June – late June
16% of annual activity
early March – late March
15% of annual activity
early April – mid April
10% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: 0%/10Raw: +58%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record has no abrupt jump (p 0.05). ODLAR's record has none (p 1.00).

Unusual years

12

2010
3
3.4× the normal annual activity
peak 21× stronger than normal
season began 8 weeks late
season ended 4 weeks late
2012
1
peak 8.3× stronger than normal
season began 21 weeks late
season ended 6 weeks early
2014
1
peak 8.3× stronger than normal
season began 15 weeks late
season ended 12 weeks early
2015
4
4.0× the normal annual activity
peak 25× stronger than normal
season ended 16 weeks early
2016
3
3.0× the normal annual activity
peak 25× stronger than normal
season began 14 weeks late
season ended 13 weeks early
2017
1
peak 8.3× stronger than normal
season began 18 weeks late
season ended 9 weeks early
2018
1
peak 8.3× stronger than normal
season began 9 weeks late
season ended 18 weeks early
2020
2
2.0× the normal annual activity
peak 8.3× stronger than normal
season began 6 weeks late
season ended 3 weeks early
2021
1
peak 8.3× stronger than normal
season ended 28 weeks early
2022
1
peak 8.3× stronger than normal
season began 27 weeks late
2025
2
2.0× the normal annual activity
peak 17× stronger than normal
season began 4 weeks late
season ended 23 weeks early
2026
2
2.0× the normal annual activity
peak 17× stronger than normal
season began 28 weeks late

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson