Wexford

Next 7 daysLow1%

Quiet now. The season usually starts late March

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: mid April – late May
Record year: 200810
Trend: −3%/ 10not significant · on raw data: +79%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	2	0
2002	3	2
2003	2	0
2004	6	3
2005	3	1
2006	2	0
2007	2	0
2008	10	4
2009	2	0
2010	2	0
2011	9	4
2012	0	0
2013	2	2
2014	2	2
2015	2	2
2016	1	1
2017	0	0
2018	8	9
2019	2	10
2020	5	7
2021	0	1
2022	3	8
2023	3	8
2024	3	7
2025	5	8
2026	2	7

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

Quiet, as usual

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

This month: 0.0
Usual (median): 0.0
Rank: 13 of 26

Next 7 days

Low

Full risk view

Low

Expected detections: ~0.1

Vegetation is drying out↑
Fires detected in recent days↑
No rain expected in the coming days↑
Outside the fire season↓

Sun7°

Mon9°

Tue12°

Wed13°

Thu13°

Fri13°

Sat16°

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Low

~0.1 expected · usual 0.1

Next 3 months

About usual

~0.0 expected · usual 0.2

likely 0.0–1.1 · usual 0.0–0.2

Season

Starts ~22 March
Peak ~17 May

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

late March – mid October

Onset: late March
Peak: mid May
End: mid October

Two-peak season: spring and summer–autumn

Critical windows

mid April – late May
33% of annual activity
late March – early April
9% of annual activity
early September – mid September
9% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: −3%/10Raw: +79%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2018 to 5.9× its earlier level (p 0.010). ODLAR's record has none (p 0.48).

Unusual years

12

2004
6
2.9× the normal annual activity
2008
10
4.5× the normal annual activity
peak 6.0× stronger than normal
season ended 15 weeks early
2011
9
4.2× the normal annual activity
season began 9 weeks late
2013
2
season began 20 weeks late
2014
2
season began 16 weeks late
2015
2
season ended 24 weeks early
2016
1
season ended 24 weeks early
2018
8
3.8× the normal annual activity
2019
2
season began 16 weeks late
2023
3
season began 12 weeks late
2024
3
season began 7 weeks late
2026
2
season ended 25 weeks early

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson