Marquette

Next 7 daysLow1%

Quiet now. The season usually starts mid March

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: early July – mid September
Record year: 201527
Trend: −14%/ 10not significant · on raw data: +89%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	15	4
2002	12	5
2003	11	4
2004	15	6
2005	13	3
2006	10	0
2007	14	4
2008	10	0
2009	13	4
2010	10	1
2011	15	5
2012	7	7
2013	9	9
2014	4	4
2015	27	27
2016	19	19
2017	20	20
2018	8	20
2019	8	16
2020	4	9
2021	12	24
2022	4	9
2023	18	29
2024	10	28
2025	12	24
2026	33	82

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

Quiet, as usual

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

This month: 0.0
Usual (median): 0.0
Rank: 13 of 26

Next 7 days

Low

Full risk view

Low

Expected detections: ~0.1

Vegetation is drying out↑
Hot weather (10 °C)↑
No rain expected in the coming days↑
Outside the fire season↓

Sun6°

Mon9°

Tue12°

Wed12°

Thu10°

Fri11°

Sat11°

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Low

~0.1 expected · usual 0.1

Next 3 months

About usual

~0.8 expected · usual 0.6

likely 0.0–1.6 · usual 0.0–1.2

Season

Starts ~15 March
Peak ~19 July

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

mid March – early October

Onset: mid March
Peak: mid July
End: early October

Two-peak season: spring and summer–autumn

Critical windows

early July – mid September
48% of annual activity
early May – early May
8% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: −14%/10Raw: +89%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2015 to 5.1× its earlier level (p < 0.001). ODLAR's record has none (p 0.58).

Unusual years

12

2003
11
season ended 8 weeks late
2012
7
season ended 6 weeks early
2013
9
season ended 7 weeks late
2014
4
only 0.3× the normal annual activity
season began 10 weeks late
season ended 3 weeks late
2015
27
2.3× the normal annual activity
peak 3.3× stronger than normal
season began 11 weeks late
2016
19
season ended 3 weeks late
2020
4
only 0.3× the normal annual activity
2022
4
only 0.3× the normal annual activity
season ended 32 weeks early
2023
18
season began 17 weeks late
2024
10
season ended 7 weeks early
2025
12
season began 11 weeks early
season ended 3 weeks early
2026
33
2.8× the normal annual activity
peak 5.5× stronger than normal
season began 10 weeks late

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson