Menominee

Next 7 daysLow0%

Quiet now. The season usually starts mid April

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: mid April – mid May
Record year: 20098
Trend: −10%/ 10significant · on raw data: +35%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	2	0
2002	2	0
2003	8	5
2004	2	0
2005	2	0
2006	5	2
2007	2	1
2008	2	1
2009	8	5
2010	2	4
2011	2	2
2012	0	0
2013	2	2
2014	1	1
2015	2	2
2016	1	1
2017	1	1
2018	2	2
2019	1	1
2020	0	2
2021	6	10
2022	8	16
2023	0	0
2024	5	11
2025	2	3
2026	3	4

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

Quiet, as usual

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

This month: 0.0
Usual (median): 0.0
Rank: 13 of 26

Next 7 days

Low

Full risk view

Low

Expected detections: ~0.0

Vegetation is drying out↑
Hot weather (10 °C)↑
No rain expected in the coming days↑
Outside the fire season↓

Sun6°

Mon9°

Tue12°

Wed12°

Thu10°

Fri11°

Sat11°

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Low

<0.1 expected · usual <0.1

Next 3 months

About usual

~0.0 expected · usual 0.2

likely 0.0–0.7 · usual 0.0–0.2

Season

Starts ~19 April
Peak ~26 April

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

mid April – early November

Onset: mid April
Peak: late April
End: early November

Two-peak season: spring and summer–autumn

Critical windows

mid April – mid May
37% of annual activity
late August – mid October
23% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: −10%/10Raw: +35%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record has no abrupt jump (p 0.36). ODLAR's record changes level in 2010 (p 0.05): a real change, or a trend.

Unusual years

12

2003
8
peak 5.9× stronger than normal
2009
8
peak 6.3× stronger than normal
2013
2
season ended 18 weeks early
2014
1
season began 13 weeks late
season ended 14 weeks early
2016
1
season ended 25 weeks early
2017
1
season began 31 weeks late
2018
2
season ended 16 weeks early
2019
1
season began 17 weeks late
2021
6
season began 6 weeks early
2022
8
peak 7.0× stronger than normal
season began 16 weeks late
2024
5
season began 20 weeks late
2026
3
season ended 16 weeks early

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson