Jackson

Next 7 daysLow13%

Quiet now. The season usually starts late March

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: mid March – early May
Record year: 202449
Trend: +1%/ 10not significant · on raw data: +93%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	13	0
2002	12	0
2003	14	4
2004	13	1
2005	21	9
2006	11	1
2007	12	1
2008	12	0
2009	12	0
2010	13	1
2011	16	3
2012	24	24
2013	28	28
2014	11	11
2015	26	26
2016	12	12
2017	17	17
2018	13	25
2019	9	16
2020	3	10
2021	13	27
2022	12	37
2023	13	24
2024	49	79
2025	14	29
2026	7	24

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

Below normal

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

ODLAR

0.00×

usual = 1×

This month: 0.0
Usual (median): 0.2
Rank: 15 of 26

Next 7 days

Low

Full risk view

Low

Expected detections: ~0.5

An active part of the fire season↑
Fires detected in recent days↑
No rain expected in the coming days↑

Sun6°

Mon8°

Tue13°

Wed14°

Thu16°

Fri15°

Sat16°

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Low

~0.5 expected · usual 0.2

Next 3 months

About usual

~0.0 expected · usual 0.5

likely 0.0–2.2 · usual 0.0–0.6

Season

Starts ~22 March
Peak ~5 April

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

late March – mid October

Onset: late March
Peak: early April
End: mid October

Two-peak season: spring and summer–autumn

Critical windows

mid March – early May
46% of annual activity
early October – mid October
8% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: +1%/10Raw: +93%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2012 to 14.3× its earlier level (p < 0.001). ODLAR's record has none (p 1.00).

Unusual years

16

2005
21
1.6× the normal annual activity
2012
24
1.9× the normal annual activity
2013
28
2.1× the normal annual activity
2014
11
season began 4 weeks late
season ended 17 weeks early
2015
26
2.0× the normal annual activity
season ended 17 weeks early
2016
12
season ended 12 weeks early
2017
17
season began 3 weeks late
season ended 9 weeks early
2018
13
season ended 10 weeks early
2019
9
season began 6 weeks late
2020
3
only 0.2× the normal annual activity
2021
13
season ended 17 weeks early
2022
12
season began 5 weeks late
2023
13
season began 3 weeks late
2024
49
3.8× the normal annual activity
2025
14
season began 5 weeks early
2026
7
only 0.5× the normal annual activity
season began 3 weeks early

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson