Chippewa

Next 7 daysLow0%

Quiet now. The season usually starts mid April

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: mid April – mid May
Record year: 201647
Trend: −4%/ 10not significant · on raw data: +42%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	14	1
2002	12	4
2003	29	19
2004	13	7
2005	17	13
2006	13	5
2007	18	7
2008	9	2
2009	15	5
2010	20	8
2011	12	6
2012	13	13
2013	10	10
2014	13	13
2015	31	31
2016	47	47
2017	16	16
2018	41	58
2019	47	82
2020	4	11
2021	11	18
2022	7	14
2023	4	11
2024	19	39
2025	12	21
2026	43	99

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

Quiet, as usual

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

This month: 0.0
Usual (median): 0.0
Rank: 13 of 26

Next 7 days

Low

Full risk view

Low

Expected detections: ~0.0

Vegetation is drying out↑
No rain expected in the coming days↑
A dry month (21 mm)↑
Outside the fire season↓

Sun5°

Mon9°

Tue10°

Wed11°

Thu11°

Fri10°

Sat14°

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Low

<0.1 expected · usual <0.1

Next 3 months

About usual

~0.0 expected · usual 0.1

likely 0.0–0.5 · usual 0.0–0.1

Season

Starts ~19 April
Peak ~26 April

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

mid April – mid September

Onset: mid April
Peak: late April
End: mid September

Two-peak season: spring and summer–autumn

Critical windows

mid April – mid May
41% of annual activity
mid July – early August
13% of annual activity
mid June – late June
12% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: −4%/10Raw: +42%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2014 to 3.9× its earlier level (p 0.003). ODLAR's record has none (p 0.21).

Unusual years

11

2007
18
season began 3 weeks late
2010
20
season began 5 weeks early
2015
31
2.3× the normal annual activity
2016
47
3.5× the normal annual activity
peak 5.8× stronger than normal
2018
41
3.1× the normal annual activity
peak 5.8× stronger than normal
season ended 17 weeks early
2019
47
3.5× the normal annual activity
2020
4
only 0.3× the normal annual activity
2021
11
season ended 17 weeks early
2023
4
only 0.3× the normal annual activity
season began 3 weeks early
2025
12
season began 11 weeks late
2026
43
3.2× the normal annual activity
season began 5 weeks late

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson