Ionia

Next 7 daysLow1%

Quiet now. The season usually starts late March

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: mid March – mid May
Record year: 200317
Trend: −8%/ 10not significant · on raw data: +75%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	11	2
2002	7	3
2003	17	6
2004	6	0
2005	6	1
2006	6	0
2007	6	1
2008	6	0
2009	6	1
2010	12	4
2011	6	1
2012	13	13
2013	13	13
2014	9	9
2015	4	4
2016	9	9
2017	11	11
2018	11	23
2019	1	4
2020	5	13
2021	8	10
2022	2	7
2023	12	19
2024	13	18
2025	0	8
2026	9	36

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

Quiet, as usual

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

This month: 0.0
Usual (median): 0.0
Rank: 13 of 26

Next 7 days

Low

Full risk view

Low

Expected detections: ~0.1

Fires detected in recent days↑
Vegetation is drying out↑
No rain expected in the coming days↑
Outside the fire season↓

Sun7°

Mon9°

Tue13°

Wed14°

Thu15°

Fri14°

Sat17°

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Low

~0.1 expected · usual <0.1

Next 3 months

About usual

~0.2 expected · usual 0.3

likely 0.0–0.8 · usual 0.0–0.4

Season

Starts ~22 March
Peak ~19 April

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

late March – mid September

Onset: late March
Peak: mid April
End: mid September

Two-peak season: spring and summer–autumn

Critical windows

mid March – mid May
50% of annual activity
late August – early September
8% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: −8%/10Raw: +75%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2012 to 6.7× its earlier level (p < 0.001). ODLAR's record has none (p 0.95).

Unusual years

14

2003
17
peak 5.8× stronger than normal
season ended 7 weeks early
2012
13
season ended 15 weeks early
2013
13
season ended 14 weeks late
2015
4
season ended 7 weeks early
2016
9
season began 11 weeks late
season ended 6 weeks late
2017
11
season began 7 weeks late
2018
11
season ended 19 weeks early
2019
1
only 0.1× the normal annual activity
season began 25 weeks late
2020
5
season ended 5 weeks late
2021
8
season ended 5 weeks early
2022
2
season began 13 weeks late
2023
12
season ended 10 weeks early
2024
13
season began 3 weeks late
2026
9
season ended 6 weeks late

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson