Burkina Faso

Next 7 daysHigh41%

Peak fire period now

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: early November – late January
Record year: 2001104,897
Trend: −31%/ 10significant · on raw data: +86%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	104897	9908
2002	87374	18259
2003	82044	19893
2004	95352	22952
2005	87105	21499
2006	76686	18354
2007	77827	18035
2008	73683	17539
2009	78666	18829
2010	84716	21039
2011	79608	19443
2012	62930	53766
2013	63710	63710
2014	54153	54153
2015	47855	47855
2016	58694	58694
2017	58938	58938
2018	42381	69130
2019	46511	91567
2020	46976	94183
2021	50936	100929
2022	40760	81565
2023	60129	119757
2024	80083	162778
2025	71964	145889
2026	46139	126061

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

One of the highest on record

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

ODLAR

3.2×

Raw data

› 16.7×

usual = 1×

This month: 12,114
Usual (median): 3,833
Rank: 1 of 26

Raw satellite data would say 16.7× the usual, because it joins MODIS and VIIRS as they are and VIIRS sees far more small fires. Corrected, it is 3.2×.

Next 7 days

High

Full risk view

High

Expected detections: ~3,955.3

An active part of the fire season↑
This year is more active than normal↑
Fires detected in recent days↑

Sat36°

Sun35°

Mon36°

Tue36°

Wed35°

Thu35°

Fri35°

Right now

early November

This week3,780

This week is more active than 48% of past years at this time

Year to date46,139

#2 of 26 yearsNormal: 32,988

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

High

~3,955 expected · usual 4,855

Next 3 months

Quieter than usual

~50,726 expected · usual 65,261

likely 22,755–76,664 · usual 22,611–120,914

Season

Ends ~15 February
Peak ~30 November

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

early November – mid February

Onset: early November
Peak: late November
End: mid February

Critical windows

early November – late January
79% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: −31%/10Raw: +86%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2012 to 4.6× its earlier level (p < 0.001). ODLAR's record changes level in 2012 (p < 0.001): a real change, or a trend.

Unusual years

1

2022
40,760
only 0.6× the normal annual activity

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson

Burkina Faso

Next 7 daysHigh41%

Peak fire period now

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: early November – late January
Record year: 2001104,897
Trend: −31%/ 10significant · on raw data: +86%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	104897	9908
2002	87374	18259
2003	82044	19893
2004	95352	22952
2005	87105	21499
2006	76686	18354
2007	77827	18035
2008	73683	17539
2009	78666	18829
2010	84716	21039
2011	79608	19443
2012	62930	53766
2013	63710	63710
2014	54153	54153
2015	47855	47855
2016	58694	58694
2017	58938	58938
2018	42381	69130
2019	46511	91567
2020	46976	94183
2021	50936	100929
2022	40760	81565
2023	60129	119757
2024	80083	162778
2025	71964	145889
2026	46139	126061

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

One of the highest on record

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

ODLAR

3.2×

Raw data

› 16.7×

usual = 1×

This month: 12,114
Usual (median): 3,833
Rank: 1 of 26

Raw satellite data would say 16.7× the usual, because it joins MODIS and VIIRS as they are and VIIRS sees far more small fires. Corrected, it is 3.2×.

Next 7 days

High

Full risk view

High

Expected detections: ~3,955.3

An active part of the fire season↑
This year is more active than normal↑
Fires detected in recent days↑

Sat36°

Sun35°

Mon36°

Tue36°

Wed35°

Thu35°

Fri35°

Right now

early November

This week3,780

This week is more active than 48% of past years at this time

Year to date46,139

#2 of 26 yearsNormal: 32,988

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

High

~3,955 expected · usual 4,855

Next 3 months

Quieter than usual

~50,726 expected · usual 65,261

likely 22,755–76,664 · usual 22,611–120,914

Season

Ends ~15 February
Peak ~30 November

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

early November – mid February

Onset: early November
Peak: late November
End: mid February

Critical windows

early November – late January
79% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: −31%/10Raw: +86%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2012 to 4.6× its earlier level (p < 0.001). ODLAR's record changes level in 2012 (p < 0.001): a real change, or a trend.

Unusual years

1

2022
40,760
only 0.6× the normal annual activity

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson