Kompienga

Next 7 daysModerate26%

Peak fire period now

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: late October – mid January
Record year: 20247,043
Trend: +6%/ 10not significant · on raw data: +100%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	6865	797
2002	5197	1436
2003	5448	1540
2004	5585	1627
2005	5982	1734
2006	4574	1324
2007	4641	1326
2008	5209	1461
2009	5808	1623
2010	6090	1666
2011	5492	1609
2012	4811	4624
2013	5368	5368
2014	4833	4833
2015	5245	5245
2016	5508	5508
2017	5892	5892
2018	5117	9589
2019	6791	12569
2020	5479	10818
2021	5885	11480
2022	5447	10368
2023	6959	13352
2024	7043	14360
2025	5926	12241
2026	3243	7853

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

One of the highest on record

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

ODLAR

› 4.2×

Raw data

› 16.1×

usual = 1×

This month: 1,665
Usual (median): 402
Rank: 2 of 26

Raw satellite data would say 16.1× the usual, because it joins MODIS and VIIRS as they are and VIIRS sees far more small fires. Corrected, it is 4.2×.

Next 7 days

Moderate

Full risk view

Moderate

Expected detections: ~870.0

Fires detected in recent days↑
Dry air (19%)↑
No rain expected in the coming days↑
This year is quieter than normal↓

Sat37°

Sun38°

Mon39°

Tue38°

Wed38°

Thu37°

Fri38°

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Moderate

~870 expected · usual 969

Next 3 months

About usual

~3,843 expected · usual 4,606

likely 1,671–4,984 · usual 2,261–7,456

Season

Ends ~18 January
Peak ~16 November

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

early November – mid January

Onset: early November
Peak: mid November
End: mid January

Critical windows

late October – mid January
91% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: +6%/10Raw: +100%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2013 to 5.4× its earlier level (p < 0.001). ODLAR's record has none (p 0.24).

Unusual years

2

2025
5,926
season ended 3 weeks late
2026
3,243
only 0.6× the normal annual activity
season began 2 weeks early
season ended 6 weeks late

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson