Komondjari

Next 7 daysVery high78%

Peak fire period now · 0.0× the usual for this week

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: mid October – early December
Record year: 2004706
Trend: −21%/ 10not significant · on raw data: +80%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	268	17
2002	162	10
2003	395	67
2004	706	145
2005	619	124
2006	419	95
2007	315	55
2008	220	28
2009	255	42
2010	215	28
2011	216	29
2012	230	189
2013	180	180
2014	99	99
2015	129	129
2016	205	205
2017	181	181
2018	137	258
2019	114	227
2020	67	131
2021	215	501
2022	199	341
2023	340	602
2024	414	813
2025	554	1111
2026	335	921

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

One of the highest on record

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

ODLAR

› 6.7×

Raw data

› 43.7×

usual = 1×

This month: 83
Usual (median): 13
Rank: 3 of 26

Raw satellite data would say 43.7× the usual, because it joins MODIS and VIIRS as they are and VIIRS sees far more small fires. Corrected, it is 6.7×.

Next 7 days

Very high

Full risk view

Very high

Expected detections: ~17.9

This year is more active than normal↑
An active part of the fire season↑
Fires detected in recent days↑

Sat36°

Sun35°

Mon37°

Tue36°

Wed35°

Thu35°

Fri35°

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Very high

~18 expected · usual 9.3

Next 3 months

Busier than usual

~196 expected · usual 110

likely 32–403 · usual 4.6–257

Season

Ends ~3 May
Peak ~25 October

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

mid October – early May

Onset: mid October
Peak: late October
End: early May

Two-peak season: spring and summer–autumn

Critical windows

mid October – early December
39% of annual activity
early April – late April
12% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: −21%/10Raw: +80%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2012 to 6.1× its earlier level (p < 0.001). ODLAR's record has none (p 0.10).

Unusual years

9

2004
706
3.3× the normal annual activity
peak 4.4× stronger than normal
2005
619
peak 4.6× stronger than normal
2014
99
season began 8 weeks late
2018
137
season began 18 weeks late
2019
114
season began 8 weeks late
2020
67
only 0.3× the normal annual activity
2024
414
peak 3.6× stronger than normal
season ended 8 weeks early
2025
554
peak 3.6× stronger than normal
season ended 7 weeks early
2026
335
peak 4.2× stronger than normal

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson