Fire season starts in about 3 weeks
Fire clock
| Year | Harmonized | Raw |
|---|---|---|
| 2001 | 3564 | 71 |
| 2002 | 2838 | 71 |
| 2003 | 2101 | 180 |
| 2004 | 2528 | 247 |
| 2005 | 2047 | 148 |
| 2006 | 2717 | 321 |
| 2007 | 1990 | 124 |
| 2008 | 2089 | 164 |
| 2009 | 3217 | 358 |
| 2010 | 4061 | 491 |
| 2011 | 3890 | 526 |
| 2012 | 2623 | 2426 |
| 2013 | 2788 | 2788 |
| 2014 | 3478 | 3478 |
| 2015 | 3458 | 3458 |
| 2016 | 3903 | 3903 |
| 2017 | 3961 | 3961 |
| 2018 | 5566 | 8491 |
| 2019 | 3229 | 6066 |
| 2020 | 4590 | 9650 |
| 2021 | 5931 | 12269 |
| 2022 | 3880 | 7881 |
| 2023 | 6798 | 13538 |
| 2024 | 6971 | 14395 |
| 2025 | 6789 | 14566 |
| 2026 | 6115 | 20900 |
Tap a week to see the detections behind it.
A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.
November vs a usual year
Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001
Raw satellite data would say 29.2× the usual, because it joins MODIS and VIIRS as they are and VIIRS sees far more small fires. Corrected, it is 5.5×.
Next 7 days
0%
High
Expected detections: ~145.6
Right now
This week is more active than 100% of past years at this time
What's ahead
Next 7 days
High~146 expected · usual 52
Next 3 months
Quieter than usual
~1,471 expected · usual 2,061
likely 544–4,027 · usual 269–5,136
Season
Season
Two-peak season: spring and summer–autumn
Critical windows
mid February – early April
47% of annual activity
early December – early January
20% of annual activity
The normal year vs 2026
25-year history
Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2013 to 18.8× its earlier level (p < 0.001). ODLAR's record changes level in 2016 (p 0.003): a real change, or a trend.
Unusual years
2001
3,564
season began 4 weeks early
2002
2,838
season ended 4 weeks late
2005
2,047
season began 4 weeks early
2007
1,990
season began 4 weeks early
2008
2,089
season began 3 weeks early
2012
2,623
season began 4 weeks late
2013
2,788
season began 5 weeks late
2021
5,931
season began 4 weeks late
2026
6,115
season began 8 weeks early
Districts and provinces