Bankura

Next 7 daysExtreme88%

Fire season starts in about 5 weeks

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: early February – early April
Record year: 20211,035
Trend: +36%/ 10significant · on raw data: +105%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	322	11
2002	364	18
2003	371	56
2004	327	48
2005	207	23
2006	408	75
2007	221	24
2008	219	26
2009	436	70
2010	561	101
2011	626	130
2012	317	298
2013	347	347
2014	504	504
2015	409	409
2016	453	453
2017	477	477
2018	789	976
2019	385	806
2020	422	902
2021	1035	2110
2022	430	857
2023	975	1983
2024	823	1637
2025	757	1575
2026	827	2682

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

One of the highest on record

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

ODLAR

› 4.2×

Raw data

› 36.0×

usual = 1×

This month: 14
Usual (median): 3.4
Rank: 1 of 26

Raw satellite data would say 36.0× the usual, because it joins MODIS and VIIRS as they are and VIIRS sees far more small fires. Corrected, it is 4.2×.

Next 7 days

Extreme

Full risk view

Extreme

Expected detections: ~12.5

Fires detected in recent days↑
An active part of the fire season↑
This year is more active than normal↑
Rain expected (43 mm)↓

Sun29°

Mon29°

Tue29°

Wed27°

Thu26°

Fri25°

Sat26°

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Extreme

~13 expected · usual 5.0

Next 3 months

About usual

~152 expected · usual 173

likely 59–478 · usual 40–356

Season

Starts ~14 December
Peak ~1 March

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

mid December – early April

Onset: mid December
Peak: early March
End: early April

Critical windows

early February – early April
69% of annual activity
mid December – late December
9% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: +36%/10Raw: +105%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2013 to 13.7× its earlier level (p < 0.001). ODLAR's record changes level in 2009 (p 0.01): a real change, or a trend.

Unusual years

12

2001
322
season began 6 weeks early
season ended 4 weeks late
2002
364
season ended 4 weeks late
2003
371
season ended 3 weeks early
2005
207
season began 9 weeks early
2007
221
season ended 3 weeks late
2008
219
season ended 3 weeks late
2010
561
season began 7 weeks early
season ended 3 weeks late
2018
789
peak 2.4× stronger than normal
2021
1,035
2.5× the normal annual activity
peak 3.0× stronger than normal
2023
975
2.3× the normal annual activity
peak 2.0× stronger than normal
2024
823
season ended 4 weeks late
2026
827
peak 2.0× stronger than normal
season began 6 weeks early
season ended 3 weeks early

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson