Kalimpong

Next 7 daysLow6%

Fire season starts in about 8 weeks

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: early February – early May
Record year: 2012141
Trend: −4%/ 10not significant · on raw data: +81%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	62	1
2002	65	5
2003	45	5
2004	37	4
2005	83	10
2006	81	8
2007	46	5
2008	72	9
2009	112	20
2010	63	6
2011	113	16
2012	141	139
2013	60	60
2014	105	105
2015	63	63
2016	63	63
2017	62	62
2018	32	51
2019	29	38
2020	51	102
2021	85	175
2022	30	36
2023	103	183
2024	85	188
2025	45	102
2026	12	31

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

Fires where there usually are none

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

This month: 12
Usual (median): 0.0
Rank: 1 of 26

Next 7 days

Low

Full risk view

Low

Expected detections: ~0.5

Fires detected in recent days↑
This year is more active than normal↑
An active part of the fire season↑
Cool weather (18 °C)↓

Sun17°

Mon16°

Tue16°

Wed19°

Thu20°

Fri20°

Sat20°

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Low

~0.5 expected · usual 0.2

Next 3 months

Busier than usual

~15 expected · usual 8.0

likely 6.0–28 · usual 0.0–19

Season

Starts ~4 January
Peak ~22 March

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

early January – mid April

Onset: early January
Peak: late March
End: mid April

Critical windows

early February – early May
85% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: −4%/10Raw: +81%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2012 to 12.1× its earlier level (p < 0.001). ODLAR's record has none (p 0.63).

Unusual years

8

2002
65
season began 15 weeks early
2004
37
season began 16 weeks early
2007
46
season began 15 weeks early
season ended 4 weeks late
2009
112
season began 16 weeks early
season ended 3 weeks early
2011
113
season began 20 weeks early
2016
63
season ended 3 weeks late
2024
85
season ended 4 weeks late
2026
12
only 0.2× the normal annual activity
season ended 22 weeks early

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson