Uttar Dinajpur

Next 7 daysExtreme82%

Fire season starts in about 1 week

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: mid March – late April
Record year: 2023112
Trend: +63%/ 10significant · on raw data: +119%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	33	0
2002	23	0
2003	11	0
2004	12	0
2005	11	0
2006	12	0
2007	20	1
2008	12	0
2009	13	0
2010	34	3
2011	30	3
2012	41	40
2013	43	43
2014	28	28
2015	25	25
2016	44	44
2017	20	20
2018	25	46
2019	47	102
2020	53	106
2021	59	132
2022	44	82
2023	112	223
2024	64	117
2025	74	150
2026	14	30

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

One of the highest on record

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

ODLAR

2.9×

usual = 1×

This month: 1.9
Usual (median): 0.7
Rank: 2 of 26

Next 7 days

Extreme

Full risk view

Extreme

Expected detections: ~4.2

Fires detected in recent days↑
An active part of the fire season↑
No rain expected in the coming days↑

Sun27°

Mon28°

Tue26°

Wed27°

Thu27°

Fri27°

Sat27°

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Extreme

~4.2 expected · usual 2.3

Next 3 months

Busier than usual

~17 expected · usual 13

likely 6.3–54 · usual 0.7–30

Season

Starts ~16 November
Peak ~5 April

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

mid November – mid April

Onset: mid November
Peak: early April
End: mid April

Two-peak season: spring and summer–autumn

Critical windows

mid March – late April
49% of annual activity
early November – early December
31% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: +63%/10Raw: +119%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2012 to 130.0× its earlier level (p < 0.001). ODLAR's record changes level in 2010 (p 0.003): a real change, or a trend.

Unusual years

12

2001
33
season began 3 weeks early
2003
11
season began 3 weeks early
2004
12
season began 3 weeks early
2005
11
season began 3 weeks early
2006
12
season began 3 weeks early
2008
12
season began 3 weeks early
2009
13
season began 3 weeks early
2012
41
season began 17 weeks late
2013
43
season began 17 weeks late
2023
112
3.8× the normal annual activity
season ended 6 weeks late
2025
74
season ended 3 weeks early
2026
14
season began 4 weeks early
season ended 8 weeks early

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson