Jalpaiguri

Next 7 daysModerate30%

Fire season starts in about 6 weeks

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: early January – late March
Record year: 2014164
Trend: +28%/ 10significant · on raw data: +104%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	87	4
2002	77	5
2003	42	3
2004	57	10
2005	50	5
2006	78	16
2007	71	14
2008	53	8
2009	95	22
2010	72	11
2011	87	21
2012	106	99
2013	73	73
2014	164	164
2015	74	74
2016	125	125
2017	96	96
2018	76	108
2019	95	153
2020	51	99
2021	59	110
2022	139	237
2023	128	259
2024	155	328
2025	115	230
2026	35	95

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

One of the highest on record

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

ODLAR

› 8.7×

usual = 1×

This month: 6.8
Usual (median): 0.8
Rank: 1 of 26

Next 7 days

Moderate

Full risk view

Moderate

Expected detections: ~1.0

An active part of the fire season↑
Fires detected in recent days↑
This year is more active than normal↑
Cool weather (18 °C)↓

Sun17°

Mon16°

Tue16°

Wed19°

Thu20°

Fri20°

Sat20°

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Moderate

~1.0 expected · usual 0.4

Next 3 months

Busier than usual

~36 expected · usual 25

likely 11–110 · usual 0.0–49

Season

Starts ~21 December
Peak ~8 March

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

mid December – late March

Onset: mid December
Peak: early March
End: late March

Critical windows

early January – late March
76% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: +28%/10Raw: +104%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2012 to 14.2× its earlier level (p < 0.001). ODLAR's record has none (p 0.08).

Unusual years

7

2001
87
season ended 6 weeks late
2002
77
season began 16 weeks early
2011
87
season began 16 weeks early
2015
74
season ended 9 weeks late
2022
139
peak 3.9× stronger than normal
2024
155
peak 3.9× stronger than normal
2026
35
season began 11 weeks early

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson