Purba Medinipur

Next 7 daysExtreme95%

Fire season starts in about 1 week

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: early December – early February
Record year: 2024351
Trend: +14%/ 10not significant · on raw data: +89%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	155	3
2002	176	5
2003	74	0
2004	88	2
2005	83	2
2006	103	5
2007	113	4
2008	86	1
2009	130	8
2010	149	10
2011	132	10
2012	88	79
2013	191	191
2014	60	60
2015	53	53
2016	39	39
2017	92	92
2018	140	246
2019	89	166
2020	145	324
2021	73	134
2022	113	216
2023	255	517
2024	351	691
2025	284	632
2026	216	931

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

One of the highest on record

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

ODLAR

› 9.8×

usual = 1×

This month: 20
Usual (median): 2.0
Rank: 1 of 26

Next 7 days

Extreme

Full risk view

Extreme

Expected detections: ~8.9

Fires detected in recent days↑
An active part of the fire season↑
This year is more active than normal↑

Sun30°

Mon30°

Tue30°

Wed28°

Thu26°

Fri25°

Sat28°

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Extreme

~8.9 expected · usual 1.5

Next 3 months

Quieter than usual

~97 expected · usual 129

likely 25–313 · usual 9.0–350

Season

Starts ~16 November
Peak ~21 December

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

mid November – early May

Onset: mid November
Peak: mid December
End: early May

Critical windows

early December – early February
53% of annual activity
late March – early April
5% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: +14%/10Raw: +89%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2012 to 54.1× its earlier level (p < 0.001). ODLAR's record has none (p 0.40).

Unusual years

9

2014
60
season ended 12 weeks early
2016
39
only 0.3× the normal annual activity
2018
140
season ended 13 weeks early
2021
73
season ended 6 weeks early
2022
113
season ended 17 weeks early
2023
255
peak 7.8× stronger than normal
season ended 11 weeks early
2024
351
3.1× the normal annual activity
peak 7.9× stronger than normal
2025
284
2.5× the normal annual activity
peak 6.0× stronger than normal
2026
216
season ended 14 weeks early

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson