Murshidabad

Next 7 daysVery high74%

Fire season starts in about 6 weeks

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: early March – mid April
Record year: 2024446
Trend: +66%/ 10significant · on raw data: +108%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	132	3
2002	126	3
2003	84	4
2004	108	6
2005	56	1
2006	59	1
2007	95	4
2008	55	1
2009	78	2
2010	142	11
2011	192	18
2012	154	146
2013	238	238
2014	247	247
2015	274	274
2016	286	286
2017	224	224
2018	89	160
2019	153	280
2020	336	699
2021	321	671
2022	101	221
2023	357	692
2024	446	887
2025	339	882
2026	541	1294

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

One of the highest on record

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

ODLAR

› 4.6×

usual = 1×

This month: 8.8
Usual (median): 1.9
Rank: 1 of 26

Next 7 days

Very high

Full risk view

Very high

Expected detections: ~3.0

Fires detected in recent days↑
An active part of the fire season↑
This year is more active than normal↑

Sun30°

Mon30°

Tue29°

Wed28°

Thu28°

Fri28°

Sat27°

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Very high

~3.0 expected · usual 1.9

Next 3 months

About usual

~48 expected · usual 59

likely 22–145 · usual 12–106

Season

Starts ~21 December
Peak ~29 March

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

mid December – early April

Onset: mid December
Peak: late March
End: early April

Critical windows

early March – mid April
72% of annual activity
early December – mid January
12% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: +66%/10Raw: +108%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2013 to 26.6× its earlier level (p < 0.001). ODLAR's record changes level in 2011 (p 0.003): a real change, or a trend.

Unusual years

4

2009
78
season ended 6 weeks late
2014
247
season began 13 weeks late
2018
89
season ended 3 weeks early
2026
541
season began 14 weeks late

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson