Birbhum

Next 7 daysLow9%

Fire season starts in about 3 weeks

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: late November – mid January
Record year: 2024570
Trend: +70%/ 10significant · on raw data: +112%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	199	3
2002	130	2
2003	45	0
2004	56	2
2005	55	2
2006	56	1
2007	52	1
2008	53	1
2009	66	1
2010	67	1
2011	63	0
2012	41	34
2013	38	38
2014	56	56
2015	154	154
2016	182	182
2017	181	181
2018	347	673
2019	181	434
2020	481	957
2021	413	834
2022	191	394
2023	337	657
2024	570	1188
2025	523	1071
2026	296	949

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

Below normal

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

ODLAR

0.00×

usual = 1×

This month: 0.0
Usual (median): 0.9
Rank: 15 of 26

Next 7 days

Low

Full risk view

Low

Expected detections: ~0.7

An active part of the fire season↑
No rain expected in the coming days↑
No rain for 13 days↑
This year is quieter than normal↓

Sun30°

Mon30°

Tue29°

Wed28°

Thu28°

Fri28°

Sat27°

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Low

~0.7 expected · usual 2.4

Next 3 months

Quieter than usual

~97 expected · usual 189

likely 27–262 · usual 15–458

Season

Starts ~30 November
Peak ~21 December

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

late November – early April

Onset: late November
Peak: mid December
End: early April

Two-peak season: spring and summer–autumn

Critical windows

late November – mid January
53% of annual activity
late March – mid April
22% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: +70%/10Raw: +112%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2013 to 131.1× its earlier level (p < 0.001). ODLAR's record changes level in 2015 (p < 0.001): a real change, or a trend.

Unusual years

11

2001
199
season began 9 weeks early
2004
56
season began 9 weeks early
2005
55
season began 13 weeks early
2006
56
season began 3 weeks early
2012
41
season began 6 weeks late
2013
38
season began 7 weeks late
2015
154
season ended 3 weeks early
2017
181
season ended 3 weeks early
2021
413
season ended 3 weeks early
2023
337
season began 3 weeks late
2026
296
season began 5 weeks late

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson