Paschim Barddhaman

Next 7 daysExtreme100%

Fire season: about 25 weeks left · 12.7× the usual for this week

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: early February – late March
Record year: 2025722
Trend: +9%/ 10not significant · on raw data: +122%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	428	0
2002	430	3
2003	383	9
2004	360	4
2005	423	13
2006	377	11
2007	401	8
2008	394	12
2009	433	14
2010	432	24
2011	496	31
2012	312	274
2013	220	220
2014	256	256
2015	305	305
2016	486	486
2017	692	692
2018	693	936
2019	584	872
2020	508	1070
2021	446	881
2022	305	651
2023	384	804
2024	413	855
2025	722	1517
2026	1121	4601

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

One of the highest on record

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

ODLAR

› 6.9×

Raw data

› 32.3×

usual = 1×

This month: 97
Usual (median): 14
Rank: 1 of 26

Raw satellite data would say 32.3× the usual, because it joins MODIS and VIIRS as they are and VIIRS sees far more small fires. Corrected, it is 6.9×.

Next 7 days

Extreme

Full risk view

Extreme

Expected detections: ~49.1

Fires detected in recent days↑
An active part of the fire season↑
This year is more active than normal↑

Sun28°

Mon30°

Tue28°

Wed26°

Thu26°

Fri26°

Sat26°

Right now

early November

This week92

This week is more active than 100% of past years at this time

Year to date1,121

#1 of 26 yearsNormal: 345

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Extreme

~49 expected · usual 9.9

Next 3 months

About usual

~159 expected · usual 185

likely 108–356 · usual 86–340

Season

Ends ~3 May
Peak ~1 March

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

late October – early May

Onset: late October
Peak: early March
End: early May

Critical windows

early February – late March
31% of annual activity
mid December – mid January
16% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: +9%/10Raw: +122%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2012 to 59.8× its earlier level (p < 0.001). ODLAR's record has none (p 0.08).

Unusual years

6

2013
220
only 0.5× the normal annual activity
2014
256
only 0.6× the normal annual activity
2017
692
1.6× the normal annual activity
2018
693
1.6× the normal annual activity
2025
722
1.7× the normal annual activity
2026
1,121
2.6× the normal annual activity
peak 3.5× stronger than normal
season ended 9 weeks early

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson

Paschim Barddhaman

Next 7 daysExtreme100%

Fire season: about 25 weeks left · 12.7× the usual for this week

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: early February – late March
Record year: 2025722
Trend: +9%/ 10not significant · on raw data: +122%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	428	0
2002	430	3
2003	383	9
2004	360	4
2005	423	13
2006	377	11
2007	401	8
2008	394	12
2009	433	14
2010	432	24
2011	496	31
2012	312	274
2013	220	220
2014	256	256
2015	305	305
2016	486	486
2017	692	692
2018	693	936
2019	584	872
2020	508	1070
2021	446	881
2022	305	651
2023	384	804
2024	413	855
2025	722	1517
2026	1121	4601

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

One of the highest on record

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

ODLAR

› 6.9×

Raw data

› 32.3×

usual = 1×

This month: 97
Usual (median): 14
Rank: 1 of 26

Raw satellite data would say 32.3× the usual, because it joins MODIS and VIIRS as they are and VIIRS sees far more small fires. Corrected, it is 6.9×.

Next 7 days

Extreme

Full risk view

Extreme

Expected detections: ~49.1

Fires detected in recent days↑
An active part of the fire season↑
This year is more active than normal↑

Sun28°

Mon30°

Tue28°

Wed26°

Thu26°

Fri26°

Sat26°

Right now

early November

This week92

This week is more active than 100% of past years at this time

Year to date1,121

#1 of 26 yearsNormal: 345

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Extreme

~49 expected · usual 9.9

Next 3 months

About usual

~159 expected · usual 185

likely 108–356 · usual 86–340

Season

Ends ~3 May
Peak ~1 March

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

late October – early May

Onset: late October
Peak: early March
End: early May

Critical windows

early February – late March
31% of annual activity
mid December – mid January
16% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: +9%/10Raw: +122%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2012 to 59.8× its earlier level (p < 0.001). ODLAR's record has none (p 0.08).

Unusual years

6

2013
220
only 0.5× the normal annual activity
2014
256
only 0.6× the normal annual activity
2017
692
1.6× the normal annual activity
2018
693
1.6× the normal annual activity
2025
722
1.7× the normal annual activity
2026
1,121
2.6× the normal annual activity
peak 3.5× stronger than normal
season ended 9 weeks early

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson