Alipurduar

Next 7 daysModerate21%

Fire season starts in about 7 weeks

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: mid January – early April
Record year: 2012259
Trend: −21%/ 10not significant · on raw data: +67%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	131	8
2002	96	11
2003	47	6
2004	97	19
2005	69	12
2006	176	42
2007	85	15
2008	88	18
2009	138	38
2010	141	40
2011	94	22
2012	259	253
2013	193	193
2014	115	115
2015	85	85
2016	116	116
2017	86	86
2018	73	95
2019	57	112
2020	58	118
2021	13	26
2022	45	83
2023	70	138
2024	142	373
2025	52	122
2026	48	149

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

Fires where there usually are none

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

This month: 1.7
Usual (median): 0.0
Rank: 2 of 26

Next 7 days

Moderate

Full risk view

Moderate

Expected detections: ~1.1

An active part of the fire season↑
Fires detected in recent days↑
This year is more active than normal↑
Cool weather (18 °C)↓

Sun17°

Mon16°

Tue16°

Wed19°

Thu20°

Fri20°

Sat20°

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Moderate

~1.1 expected · usual 0.8

Next 3 months

Busier than usual

~43 expected · usual 27

likely 11–73 · usual 0.0–52

Season

Starts ~28 December
Peak ~8 March

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

late December – late March

Onset: late December
Peak: early March
End: late March

Critical windows

mid January – early April
79% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: −21%/10Raw: +67%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2012 to 6.5× its earlier level (p < 0.001). ODLAR's record has none (p 0.07).

Unusual years

2

2012
259
peak 5.1× stronger than normal
2024
142
peak 3.6× stronger than normal

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson