North Twenty Four Parganas

Next 7 daysLow5%

Fire season: about 25 weeks left

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: early February – mid March
Record year: 202145
Trend: +18%/ 10not significant · on raw data: +119%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	30	6
2002	22	0
2003	19	0
2004	20	0
2005	19	0
2006	21	0
2007	27	1
2008	20	0
2009	31	1
2010	44	3
2011	24	1
2012	10	8
2013	12	12
2014	21	21
2015	6	6
2016	12	12
2017	17	17
2018	24	44
2019	30	56
2020	41	84
2021	45	77
2022	27	61
2023	41	80
2024	25	51
2025	44	83
2026	18	71

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

Below normal

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

ODLAR

0.00×

usual = 1×

This month: 0.0
Usual (median): 0.8
Rank: 19 of 26

Next 7 days

Low

Full risk view

Low

Expected detections: ~0.3

An active part of the fire season↑
Fires detected in recent days↑
No rain expected in the coming days↑
This year is quieter than normal↓

Sun29°

Mon29°

Tue29°

Wed27°

Thu27°

Fri22°

Sat27°

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Low

~0.3 expected · usual 0.5

Next 3 months

About usual

~9.6 expected · usual 11

likely 4.4–13 · usual 0.0–24

Season

Ends ~3 May
Peak ~15 February

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

early November – early May

Onset: early November
Peak: mid February
End: early May

Critical windows

early February – mid March
26% of annual activity
late December – mid January
15% of annual activity
early December – mid December
7% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: +18%/10Raw: +119%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2012 to 40.1× its earlier level (p < 0.001). ODLAR's record changes level in 2018 (p 0.04): a real change, or a trend.

Unusual years

12

2012
10
only 0.4× the normal annual activity
season ended 15 weeks early
2014
21
season began 7 weeks early
2015
6
only 0.3× the normal annual activity
season began 7 weeks early
2016
12
season began 7 weeks late
2017
17
season ended 3 weeks early
2018
24
season ended 8 weeks early
2019
30
season ended 5 weeks early
2020
41
season ended 5 weeks early
2022
27
season ended 3 weeks early
2024
25
season began 6 weeks late
2025
44
season ended 3 weeks early
2026
18
season ended 4 weeks early

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson