Fire season starts in about 5 weeks
Fire clock
| Year | Harmonized | Raw |
|---|---|---|
| 2001 | 178 | 0 |
| 2002 | 147 | 0 |
| 2003 | 89 | 0 |
| 2004 | 212 | 11 |
| 2005 | 156 | 8 |
| 2006 | 135 | 4 |
| 2007 | 115 | 1 |
| 2008 | 153 | 5 |
| 2009 | 222 | 12 |
| 2010 | 644 | 34 |
| 2011 | 221 | 12 |
| 2012 | 41 | 32 |
| 2013 | 188 | 188 |
| 2014 | 237 | 237 |
| 2015 | 195 | 195 |
| 2016 | 300 | 300 |
| 2017 | 227 | 227 |
| 2018 | 252 | 270 |
| 2019 | 67 | 135 |
| 2020 | 97 | 214 |
| 2021 | 548 | 1105 |
| 2022 | 94 | 259 |
| 2023 | 340 | 721 |
| 2024 | 260 | 550 |
| 2025 | 314 | 694 |
| 2026 | 357 | 1319 |
Tap a week to see the detections behind it.
A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.
November vs a usual year
Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001
Raw satellite data would say 46.0× the usual, because it joins MODIS and VIIRS as they are and VIIRS sees far more small fires. Corrected, it is 7.9×.
Next 7 days
0%
Extreme
Expected detections: ~11.4
What's ahead
Next 7 days
Extreme~11 expected · usual 2.0
Next 3 months
Busier than usual
~45 expected · usual 37
likely 13–139 · usual 0.4–81
Season
Season
Critical windows
early February – late April
78% of annual activity
The normal year vs 2026
25-year history
Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2013 to 39.5× its earlier level (p < 0.001). ODLAR's record has none (p 0.29).
Unusual years
2010
644
3.3× the normal annual activity
season began 13 weeks late
2012
41
only 0.2× the normal annual activity
2013
188
season began 12 weeks late
2018
252
season began 12 weeks late
2019
67
only 0.3× the normal annual activity
2021
548
2.8× the normal annual activity
season began 12 weeks late
Right now
This week is more active than 100% of past years at this time