Barddhaman

Next 7 daysLow6%

Fire season starts in about 3 weeks

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: late November – mid January
Record year: 20241,048
Trend: +41%/ 10significant · on raw data: +99%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	375	7
2002	218	1
2003	135	12
2004	162	10
2005	156	11
2006	287	24
2007	192	13
2008	168	12
2009	223	19
2010	214	28
2011	243	28
2012	116	102
2013	110	110
2014	261	261
2015	439	439
2016	336	336
2017	351	351
2018	901	1620
2019	342	690
2020	744	1508
2021	370	766
2022	422	888
2023	389	732
2024	1048	2209
2025	908	1950
2026	387	1199

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

Below normal

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

ODLAR

0.00×

usual = 1×

This month: 0.0
Usual (median): 3.0
Rank: 20 of 26

Next 7 days

Low

Full risk view

Low

Expected detections: ~2.6

Fires detected in recent days↑
An active part of the fire season↑
No rain for 3 days↑

Sun30°

Mon30°

Tue30°

Wed28°

Thu28°

Fri24°

Sat27°

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Low

~2.6 expected · usual 6.3

Next 3 months

Quieter than usual

~287 expected · usual 539

likely 73–648 · usual 54–1,382

Season

Starts ~30 November
Peak ~21 December

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

late November – late March

Onset: late November
Peak: mid December
End: late March

Critical windows

late November – mid January
60% of annual activity
mid February – mid March
17% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: +41%/10Raw: +99%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2013 to 41.0× its earlier level (p < 0.001). ODLAR's record changes level in 2015 (p < 0.001): a real change, or a trend.

Unusual years

8

2011
243
season began 6 weeks early
2012
116
season began 3 weeks late
2018
901
3.1× the normal annual activity
2020
744
season ended 9 weeks early
2021
370
season began 3 weeks early
2024
1,048
3.6× the normal annual activity
2025
908
3.2× the normal annual activity
2026
387
season began 5 weeks late

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson