Maldah

Next 7 daysLow3%

Fire season starts in about 7 weeks

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: early February – early May
Record year: 2023104
Trend: +38%/ 10significant · on raw data: +116%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	41	0
2002	35	1
2003	24	0
2004	35	2
2005	28	1
2006	27	0
2007	37	3
2008	56	7
2009	46	4
2010	69	10
2011	89	13
2012	49	47
2013	57	57
2014	65	65
2015	22	22
2016	71	71
2017	28	28
2018	34	54
2019	41	98
2020	34	69
2021	65	150
2022	58	114
2023	104	209
2024	95	179
2025	96	159
2026	44	135

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

Quiet, as usual

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

This month: 0.0
Usual (median): 0.0
Rank: 13 of 26

Next 7 days

Low

Full risk view

Low

Expected detections: ~0.2

An active part of the fire season↑
No rain expected in the coming days↑
This year is quieter than normal↓

Sun28°

Mon29°

Tue27°

Wed26°

Thu27°

Fri27°

Sat26°

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Low

~0.2 expected · usual 0.4

Next 3 months

About usual

~4.9 expected · usual 6.4

likely 0.0–8.3 · usual 0.0–14

Season

Starts ~28 December
Peak ~5 April

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

late December – mid April

Onset: late December
Peak: early April
End: mid April

Critical windows

early February – early May
82% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: +38%/10Raw: +116%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2012 to 25.3× its earlier level (p < 0.001). ODLAR's record has none (p 0.11).

Unusual years

3

2013
57
season began 13 weeks late
2021
65
season began 12 weeks late
2024
95
season ended 3 weeks late

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson