Nogob

Next 7 daysModerate25%

Fire season: about 17 weeks left

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: early December – early March
Record year: 2025107
Trend: +30%/ 10not significant · on raw data: +28%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	21	0
2002	19	0
2003	11	0
2004	11	0
2005	11	0
2006	10	0
2007	16	1
2008	12	0
2009	20	2
2010	66	14
2011	22	3
2012	18	16
2013	37	37
2014	51	51
2015	31	31
2016	9	9
2017	8	8
2018	1	2
2019	6	13
2020	94	183
2021	84	190
2022	1	9
2023	6	10
2024	97	235
2025	107	194
2026	1	13

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

Quiet, as usual

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

This month: 0.0
Usual (median): 0.0
Rank: 13 of 26

Next 7 days

Moderate

Full risk view

Moderate

Expected detections: ~0.6

An active part of the fire season↑
Dry air (20%)↑
No rain expected in the coming days↑
No fires in recent days↓

Sun34°

Mon33°

Tue33°

Wed33°

Thu33°

Fri34°

Sat35°

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Moderate

~0.6 expected · usual 0.8

Next 3 months

About usual

~11 expected · usual 14

likely 3.7–43 · usual 0.0–28

Season

Ends ~8 March
Peak ~18 January

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

early November – early March

Onset: early November
Peak: mid January
End: early March

Critical windows

early December – early March
73% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: +30%/10Raw: +28%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2010 to 188.4× its earlier level (p 0.001). ODLAR's record has none (p 0.92).

Unusual years

11

2010
66
peak 13× stronger than normal
season ended 12 weeks early
2012
18
season began 13 weeks early
2013
37
peak 6.0× stronger than normal
2016
9
season ended 9 weeks late
2017
8
season began 12 weeks early
season ended 10 weeks early
2019
6
season began 14 weeks early
2020
94
peak 6.5× stronger than normal
2021
84
peak 11× stronger than normal
2023
6
season began 12 weeks early
2024
97
peak 11× stronger than normal
season began 18 weeks early
2025
107
peak 19× stronger than normal

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson