Majang

Next 7 daysModerate33%

Quiet now. The season usually starts mid January

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: late December – late March
Record year: 20051,096
Trend: −9%/ 10not significant · on raw data: +99%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	683	32
2002	746	51
2003	740	147
2004	630	103
2005	1096	204
2006	693	123
2007	547	88
2008	610	109
2009	308	47
2010	615	112
2011	454	87
2012	689	675
2013	422	422
2014	560	560
2015	735	735
2016	826	826
2017	921	921
2018	883	899
2019	635	1275
2020	268	490
2021	633	1278
2022	540	1131
2023	532	1012
2024	363	744
2025	869	1897
2026	166	512

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

Quiet, as usual

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

This month: 0.0
Usual (median): 0.0
Rank: 13 of 26

Next 7 days

Moderate

Full risk view

Moderate

Expected detections: ~0.9

Fires detected in recent days↑
An active part of the fire season↑
This year is more active than normal↑

Sun31°

Mon32°

Tue32°

Wed32°

Thu32°

Fri33°

Sat34°

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Moderate

~0.9 expected · usual 0.2

Next 3 months

Busier than usual

~137 expected · usual 111

likely 13–407 · usual 0.0–380

Season

Starts ~11 January
Peak ~1 March

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

mid January – mid March

Onset: mid January
Peak: early March
End: mid March

Critical windows

late December – late March
94% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: −9%/10Raw: +99%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2012 to 9.2× its earlier level (p < 0.001). ODLAR's record has none (p 0.53).

Unusual years

7

2003
740
season ended 3 weeks early
2005
1,096
1.7× the normal annual activity
2009
308
only 0.5× the normal annual activity
2013
422
season ended 4 weeks late
2020
268
only 0.4× the normal annual activity
2024
363
only 0.6× the normal annual activity
2026
166
only 0.3× the normal annual activity

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson