Kore Zone

Next 7 daysLow7%

Fire season starts in about 5 weeks

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: mid December – mid March
Record year: 2008540
Trend: −26%/ 10not significant · on raw data: +78%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	311	12
2002	316	18
2003	280	27
2004	282	27
2005	353	47
2006	223	30
2007	313	37
2008	540	78
2009	133	12
2010	171	18
2011	304	39
2012	168	152
2013	106	106
2014	113	113
2015	162	162
2016	195	195
2017	35	35
2018	135	191
2019	322	532
2020	56	106
2021	410	793
2022	161	337
2023	156	317
2024	170	312
2025	484	988
2026	293	797

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

Quiet, as usual

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

This month: 0.0
Usual (median): 0.0
Rank: 12 of 26

Next 7 days

Low

Full risk view

Low

Expected detections: ~0.2

An active part of the fire season↑
No rain expected in the coming days↑
No fires in recent days↓

Sun26°

Mon27°

Tue27°

Wed29°

Thu28°

Fri28°

Sat29°

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Low

~0.2 expected · usual 0.4

Next 3 months

Quieter than usual

~60 expected · usual 94

likely 1.0–157 · usual 0.0–239

Season

Starts ~14 December
Peak ~8 February

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

mid December – early March

Onset: mid December
Peak: early February
End: early March

Critical windows

mid December – mid March
87% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: −26%/10Raw: +78%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2012 to 9.9× its earlier level (p < 0.001). ODLAR's record has none (p 0.10).

Unusual years

11

2001
311
season began 13 weeks early
2009
133
season began 19 weeks early
2010
171
season began 14 weeks early
season ended 4 weeks early
2015
162
season began 15 weeks early
2016
195
season began 13 weeks early
2017
35
only 0.2× the normal annual activity
season ended 3 weeks late
2018
135
season began 13 weeks early
2020
56
season began 13 weeks early
2023
156
season began 16 weeks early
2024
170
season ended 3 weeks late
2026
293
season began 21 weeks early

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson