Korahe

Next 7 daysModerate33%

Fire season: about 17 weeks left

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: late December – mid February
Record year: 2018375
Trend: +6%/ 10not significant · on raw data: +48%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	35	0
2002	44	4
2003	28	1
2004	27	0
2005	32	2
2006	40	3
2007	190	44
2008	31	1
2009	29	1
2010	47	8
2011	28	0
2012	7	4
2013	57	57
2014	81	81
2015	52	52
2016	66	66
2017	32	32
2018	375	703
2019	51	106
2020	93	181
2021	126	220
2022	13	26
2023	6	13
2024	41	74
2025	26	57
2026	17	53

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

Below normal

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

ODLAR

0.00×

usual = 1×

This month: 0.0
Usual (median): 0.5
Rank: 14 of 26

Next 7 days

Moderate

Full risk view

Moderate

Expected detections: ~1.2

An active part of the fire season↑
Fires detected in recent days↑
Dry air (34%)↑

Sun31°

Mon31°

Tue31°

Wed31°

Thu31°

Fri32°

Sat32°

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Moderate

~1.2 expected · usual 1.3

Next 3 months

Quieter than usual

~11 expected · usual 19

likely 5.0–47 · usual 0.0–48

Season

Ends ~8 March
Peak ~6 September

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

early July – early March

Onset: early July
Peak: early September
End: early March

Two-peak season: spring and summer–autumn

Critical windows

late December – mid February
30% of annual activity
late August – mid September
25% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: +6%/10Raw: +48%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2013 to 22.6× its earlier level (p < 0.001). ODLAR's record has none (p 0.53).

Unusual years

13

2007
190
4.7× the normal annual activity
season ended 3 weeks early
2010
47
season ended 3 weeks late
2012
7
only 0.2× the normal annual activity
season ended 3 weeks early
2013
57
season ended 9 weeks early
2014
81
season began 24 weeks late
2015
52
season ended 8 weeks early
2016
66
season ended 27 weeks early
2017
32
season ended 7 weeks early
2018
375
9.3× the normal annual activity
peak 22× stronger than normal
2021
126
3.1× the normal annual activity
season began 18 weeks late
season ended 4 weeks late
2022
13
only 0.3× the normal annual activity
season began 26 weeks late
2025
26
season ended 6 weeks early
2026
17
season ended 3 weeks late

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson