Guji

Next 7 daysLow8%

Fire season: about 18 weeks left · 0.0× the usual for this week

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: late January – late March
Record year: 20082,162
Trend: +21%/ 10not significant · on raw data: +111%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	694	9
2002	986	33
2003	934	81
2004	470	30
2005	308	21
2006	759	67
2007	1472	155
2008	2162	281
2009	833	74
2010	275	11
2011	875	66
2012	897	880
2013	628	628
2014	867	867
2015	1483	1483
2016	945	945
2017	738	738
2018	338	465
2019	1357	2767
2020	488	941
2021	1276	2443
2022	1266	2471
2023	968	1938
2024	1411	2660
2025	1765	3512
2026	684	2119

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

Quiet, as usual

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

This month: 0.0
Usual (median): 0.0
Rank: 13 of 26

Next 7 days

Low

Full risk view

Low

Expected detections: ~0.5

An active part of the fire season↑
No rain expected in the coming days↑
This year is quieter than normal↓

Sun25°

Mon25°

Tue26°

Wed26°

Thu26°

Fri27°

Sat27°

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Low

~0.5 expected · usual 1.2

Next 3 months

About usual

~54 expected · usual 49

likely 1.0–115 · usual 7.0–96

Season

Ends ~15 March
Peak ~1 March

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

mid September – mid March

Onset: mid September
Peak: early March
End: mid March

Critical windows

late January – late March
83% of annual activity
late August – mid September
6% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: +21%/10Raw: +111%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2012 to 21.6× its earlier level (p < 0.001). ODLAR's record has none (p 0.40).

Unusual years

3

2005
308
only 0.3× the normal annual activity
2010
275
only 0.3× the normal annual activity
2025
1,765
peak 2.6× stronger than normal

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson