Regina

Next 7 daysLow0%

Quiet now. The season usually starts late April

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: mid September – mid October
Record year: 20155
Trend: −1%/ 10not significant · on raw data: +61%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	2	0
2002	2	1
2003	4	3
2004	1	0
2005	1	2
2006	1	2
2007	1	0
2008	1	0
2009	1	0
2010	1	0
2011	1	0
2012	0	0
2013	2	2
2014	2	2
2015	5	5
2016	3	3
2017	1	1
2018	0	1
2019	1	3
2020	0	2
2021	1	1
2022	0	3
2023	1	2
2024	2	4
2025	4	6
2026	0	1

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

Quiet, as usual

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

This month: 0.0
Usual (median): 0.0
Rank: 11 of 26

Next 7 days

Low

Full risk view

Low

Expected detections: ~0.0

A dry month (15 mm)↑
Fires detected in recent days↑
High fuel load↑
Outside the fire season↓

Sun10°

Mon12°

Tue10°

Wed6°

Thu2°

Fri2°

Sat1°

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Low

~0.0 expected · usual 0.0

Next 3 months

About usual

~0.0 expected · usual 0.0

likely 0.0–0.0 · usual 0.0–0.0

Season

Starts ~26 April
Peak ~27 September

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

late April – early October

Onset: late April
Peak: late September
End: early October

Two-peak season: spring and summer–autumn

Critical windows

mid September – mid October
26% of annual activity
mid April – early May
14% of annual activity
late June – mid July
14% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: −1%/10Raw: +61%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2013 to 4.0× its earlier level (p 0.01). ODLAR's record has none (p 0.53).

Unusual years

11

2003
4
3.6× the normal annual activity
peak 13× stronger than normal
season began 10 weeks late
2013
2
season began 14 weeks late
2014
2
season ended 6 weeks early
2015
5
4.5× the normal annual activity
peak 12× stronger than normal
season ended 4 weeks early
2016
3
2.7× the normal annual activity
peak 8.0× stronger than normal
2017
1
season began 10 weeks late
season ended 11 weeks early
2019
1
season began 20 weeks late
2021
1
season ended 19 weeks early
2023
1
season began 21 weeks late
2024
2
season ended 5 weeks early
2025
4
3.6× the normal annual activity
peak 16× stronger than normal
season ended 21 weeks early

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson