Prince Albert National Park

Next 7 daysLow0%

Quiet now. The season usually starts mid May

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: mid June – early August
Record year: 20251,802
Trend: 0%/ 10not significant · on raw data: 0%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	9	0
2002	342	61
2003	2	1
2004	2	0
2005	3	0
2006	15	5
2007	3	0
2008	3	0
2009	83	25
2010	3	0
2011	14	5
2012	20	20
2013	13	13
2014	53	53
2015	1175	1175
2016	20	20
2017	8	8
2018	1606	3249
2019	0	0
2020	0	1
2021	2	3
2022	0	0
2023	4	5
2024	2	2
2025	1802	3550
2026	0	1

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

Quiet, as usual

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

This month: 0.0
Usual (median): 0.0
Rank: 12 of 26

Next 7 days

Low

Full risk view

Low

Expected detections: ~0.0

This year is more active than normal↑
No rain expected in the coming days↑
Fires detected in recent days↑
Outside the fire season↓

Sun7°

Mon8°

Tue6°

Wed2°

Thu5°

Fri0°

Sat−2°

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Low

~0.0 expected · usual <0.1

Next 3 months

About usual

~0.0 expected · usual 0.1

likely 0.0–0.0 · usual 0.0–0.1

Season

Starts ~17 May
Peak ~5 July

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

mid May – mid July

Onset: mid May
Peak: early July
End: mid July

Critical windows

mid June – early August
64% of annual activity
early May – late May
35% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: 0%/10Raw: 0%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record has no abrupt jump (p 0.25). ODLAR's record has none (p 0.26).

Unusual years

4

2002
342
43× the normal annual activity
peak 90× stronger than normal
season began 10 weeks late
2015
1,175
147× the normal annual activity
peak 315× stronger than normal
season began 7 weeks late
2018
1,606
201× the normal annual activity
peak 424× stronger than normal
2025
1,802
225× the normal annual activity
peak 445× stronger than normal
season began 10 weeks late

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson