Yevlakh District

Next 7 daysLow4%

Fire season: about 18 weeks left

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: late June – early August
Record year: 200289
Trend: −4%/ 10not significant · on raw data: +93%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	51	5
2002	89	25
2003	56	13
2004	88	25
2005	48	11
2006	49	11
2007	40	7
2008	55	13
2009	36	4
2010	55	13
2011	53	14
2012	59	51
2013	76	76
2014	44	44
2015	35	35
2016	72	72
2017	60	60
2018	79	164
2019	72	131
2020	84	160
2021	33	84
2022	63	146
2023	56	105
2024	30	113
2025	51	152
2026	62	145

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

Quiet, as usual

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

This month: 0.0
Usual (median): 0.0
Rank: 13 of 26

Next 7 days

Low

Full risk view

Low

Expected detections: ~0.2

Fires detected in recent days↑
Strong wind (6.0 m/s)↑
Vegetation is drying out↑
Outside the fire season↓

Sun25°

Mon14°

Tue12°

Wed16°

Thu16°

Fri21°

Sat17°

Right now

early November

This week0.0

This week is more active than 28% of past years at this time

Year to date62

#8 of 26 yearsNormal: 53

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Low

~0.2 expected · usual 0.2

Next 3 months

About usual

~4.3 expected · usual 4.3

likely 1.2–17 · usual 0.0–13

Season

Ends ~15 March
Peak ~5 July

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

late June – mid March

Onset: late June
Peak: early July
End: mid March

Two-peak season: spring and summer–autumn

Critical windows

late June – early August
32% of annual activity
early February – mid March
25% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: −4%/10Raw: +93%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2012 to 7.8× its earlier level (p < 0.001). ODLAR's record has none (p 0.98).

Unusual years

13

2001
51
season began 3 weeks early
2002
89
season ended 4 weeks early
2003
56
season ended 4 weeks early
2004
88
season ended 5 weeks early
2009
36
season ended 3 weeks late
2014
44
season began 26 weeks late
2019
72
season began 3 weeks early
2020
84
season began 4 weeks late
2021
33
season began 3 weeks early
season ended 4 weeks early
2022
63
season began 12 weeks late
season ended 5 weeks late
2023
56
season ended 3 weeks late
2024
30
season ended 3 weeks late
2025
51
season began 5 weeks late

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson

Yevlakh District

Next 7 daysLow4%

Fire season: about 18 weeks left

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: late June – early August
Record year: 200289
Trend: −4%/ 10not significant · on raw data: +93%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	51	5
2002	89	25
2003	56	13
2004	88	25
2005	48	11
2006	49	11
2007	40	7
2008	55	13
2009	36	4
2010	55	13
2011	53	14
2012	59	51
2013	76	76
2014	44	44
2015	35	35
2016	72	72
2017	60	60
2018	79	164
2019	72	131
2020	84	160
2021	33	84
2022	63	146
2023	56	105
2024	30	113
2025	51	152
2026	62	145

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

Quiet, as usual

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

This month: 0.0
Usual (median): 0.0
Rank: 13 of 26

Next 7 days

Low

Full risk view

Low

Expected detections: ~0.2

Fires detected in recent days↑
Strong wind (6.0 m/s)↑
Vegetation is drying out↑
Outside the fire season↓

Sun25°

Mon14°

Tue12°

Wed16°

Thu16°

Fri21°

Sat17°

Right now

early November

This week0.0

This week is more active than 28% of past years at this time

Year to date62

#8 of 26 yearsNormal: 53

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Low

~0.2 expected · usual 0.2

Next 3 months

About usual

~4.3 expected · usual 4.3

likely 1.2–17 · usual 0.0–13

Season

Ends ~15 March
Peak ~5 July

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

late June – mid March

Onset: late June
Peak: early July
End: mid March

Two-peak season: spring and summer–autumn

Critical windows

late June – early August
32% of annual activity
early February – mid March
25% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: −4%/10Raw: +93%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2012 to 7.8× its earlier level (p < 0.001). ODLAR's record has none (p 0.98).

Unusual years

13

2001
51
season began 3 weeks early
2002
89
season ended 4 weeks early
2003
56
season ended 4 weeks early
2004
88
season ended 5 weeks early
2009
36
season ended 3 weeks late
2014
44
season began 26 weeks late
2019
72
season began 3 weeks early
2020
84
season began 4 weeks late
2021
33
season began 3 weeks early
season ended 4 weeks early
2022
63
season began 12 weeks late
season ended 5 weeks late
2023
56
season ended 3 weeks late
2024
30
season ended 3 weeks late
2025
51
season began 5 weeks late

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson