Quiet now. The season usually starts early February
Fire clock
| Year | Harmonized | Raw |
|---|---|---|
| 2001 | 7 | 2 |
| 2002 | 2 | 0 |
| 2003 | 4 | 1 |
| 2004 | 13 | 4 |
| 2005 | 11 | 3 |
| 2006 | 8 | 2 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 |
| 2008 | 4 | 1 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 |
| 2011 | 4 | 1 |
| 2012 | 5 | 5 |
| 2013 | 3 | 3 |
| 2014 | 3 | 3 |
| 2015 | 5 | 5 |
| 2016 | 1 | 1 |
| 2017 | 1 | 1 |
| 2018 | 0 | 1 |
| 2019 | 5 | 7 |
| 2020 | 1 | 1 |
| 2021 | 0 | 1 |
| 2022 | 2 | 5 |
| 2023 | 0 | 1 |
| 2024 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 | 0 | 5 |
| 2026 | 0 | 3 |
Tap a week to see the detections behind it.
A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.
November vs a usual year
Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001
Next 7 days
0%
Low
Expected detections: ~0.0
Right now
This week is more active than 28% of past years at this time
What's ahead
Next 7 days
Low~0.0 expected · usual 0.0
Next 3 months
About usual
~0.0 expected · usual 0.2
likely 0.0–0.7 · usual 0.0–0.1
Season
Season
Critical windows
early July – late August
60% of annual activity
early February – early March
15% of annual activity
The normal year vs 2026
25-year history
Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record has no abrupt jump (p 0.31). ODLAR's record changes level in 2016 (p 0.006): a real change, or a trend.
Unusual years
2005
11
peak 8.9× stronger than normal
2012
5
season ended 19 weeks early
2014
3
season ended 17 weeks early
2017
1
season ended 39 weeks early
2020
1
season ended 23 weeks early