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RegionsAzerbaijan

Shaki District

Next 7 daysLow5%

Fire season: about 16 weeks left

Annual mean
0detections
Peak period
early July – mid September
Record year
2001568
Trend
−21%/ 10not significant · on raw data: +52%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
YearHarmonizedRaw
2001568124
200216441
200310529
200427387
200518962
200613538
200720970
200818160
200916752
201013735
2011343106
2012181176
20138181
2014134134
2015405405
2016314314
2017283283
2018372764
2019402742
202084190
2021171337
2022129237
20231952
20241352
2025121341
20262588

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

Above normal

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

ODLAR
2.2×
usual = 1×
This month
1.1
Usual (median)
0.5
Rank
10 of 26

Next 7 days

Low

Full risk view

0%

Low

Expected detections: ~0.3

  • Fires detected in recent days↑
  • An active part of the fire season↑
  • Humid air (60%)↓
Sun21°
Mon13°
Tue11°
Wed14°
Thu16°
Fri17°
Sat16°

Right now

early November

This week0.0

This week is more active than 22% of past years at this time

Year to date25
#24 of 26 yearsNormal: 167

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Low

~0.3 expected · usual 0.4

Next 3 months

About usual

~6.5 expected · usual 8.1

likely 1.9–30 · usual 0.0–15

Season

  • Ends ~1 March
  • Peak ~2 August
ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week
How sure is this?
  • Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
  • Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
  • Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
  • Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

mid July – early March

Onset
mid July
Peak
early August
End
early March

Critical windows

  • early July – mid September

    70% of annual activity

  • early March – early March

    6% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: −21%/10Raw: +52%/10
HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2011 to 4.7× its earlier level (p 0.008). ODLAR's record has none (p 0.10).

Unusual years

9

  • 2001

    568

    season ended 27 weeks early

  • 2004

    273

    season ended 26 weeks early

  • 2007

    209

    season ended 11 weeks early

  • 2012

    181

    season began 4 weeks late

  • 2014

    134

    season began 5 weeks late

  • 2015

    405

    season ended 22 weeks early

  • 2018

    372

    season ended 22 weeks early

  • 2019

    402

    season ended 21 weeks early

  • 2022

    129

    season began 3 weeks late

ReportExport dataweekly.csvannual.csvhotspots.geojson
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One fire history for the Land of Fire.

Built for the NASA Space Apps Challenge 2026.

ExploreRegionsRiskHarmonizationMethodologyDataSimple mode

Data sources

NASA FIRMS, NASA POWER, Open-Meteo, OpenStreetMap, geoBoundaries, OpenFreeMap

ODLAR is not an official warning service. In an emergency call 112.