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RegionsAzerbaijan

Qubadli District

Next 7 daysLow1%

Fire season: about 14 weeks left

Annual mean
0detections
Peak period
mid June – early September
Record year
2021468
Trend
−24%/ 10not significant · on raw data: +53%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
YearHarmonizedRaw
200115215
200232198
200318550
2004373145
200519355
2006347124
20078325
20085116
2009318
201014547
20117124
2012126124
20138181
2014140140
2015346346
2016230230
2017267267
2018179310
2019257537
2020104166
2021468974
202261141
20231629
202497272
20252161
20263174

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

Below normal

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

ODLAR
0.00×
usual = 1×
This month
0.0
Usual (median)
0.4
Rank
17 of 26

Next 7 days

Low

Full risk view

0%

Low

Expected detections: ~0.1

  • Fires detected in recent days↑
  • Rain expected (21 mm)↓
Sun20°
Mon11°
Tue9°
Wed14°
Thu17°
Fri21°
Sat16°

Right now

early November

This week0.0

This week is more active than 22% of past years at this time

Year to date31
#23 of 26 yearsNormal: 139

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Low

~0.1 expected · usual 0.3

Next 3 months

About usual

~4.1 expected · usual 6.1

likely 1.0–18 · usual 0.0–14

Season

  • Ends ~15 February
  • Peak ~16 August
ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week
How sure is this?
  • Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
  • Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
  • Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
  • Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

late June – mid February

Onset
late June
Peak
mid August
End
mid February

Critical windows

  • mid June – early September

    71% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: −24%/10Raw: +53%/10
HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2014 to 4.6× its earlier level (p 0.006). ODLAR's record has none (p 0.26).

Unusual years

8

  • 2001

    153

    season began 7 weeks early

  • 2002

    321

    season ended 14 weeks early

  • 2015

    346

    season ended 20 weeks early

  • 2019

    257

    season began 4 weeks early

  • 2020

    104

    season began 11 weeks late

  • 2021

    468

    season began 8 weeks early

    season ended 28 weeks early

  • 2024

    97

    season began 3 weeks late

    season ended 23 weeks early

  • 2026

    31

    season began 3 weeks late

    season ended 25 weeks early

ReportExport dataweekly.csvannual.csvhotspots.geojson
ODLARODLAR

One fire history for the Land of Fire.

Built for the NASA Space Apps Challenge 2026.

ExploreRegionsRiskHarmonizationMethodologyDataSimple mode

Data sources

NASA FIRMS, NASA POWER, Open-Meteo, OpenStreetMap, geoBoundaries, OpenFreeMap

ODLAR is not an official warning service. In an emergency call 112.