Khizi District

Next 7 daysLow0%

Fire season: about 6 weeks left

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: late June – mid September
Record year: 201795
Trend: −38%/ 10significant · on raw data: +13%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	51	10
2002	34	7
2003	35	21
2004	13	6
2005	6	2
2006	16	6
2007	25	12
2008	9	4
2009	6	1
2010	46	29
2011	9	6
2012	2	2
2013	9	9
2014	11	11
2015	18	18
2016	5	5
2017	95	95
2018	9	23
2019	10	16
2020	13	26
2021	7	13
2022	10	11
2023	4	10
2024	2	5
2025	3	8
2026	2	19

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

Below normal

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

ODLAR

0.00×

usual = 1×

This month: 0.0
Usual (median): 0.0
Rank: 14 of 26

Next 7 days

Low

Full risk view

Low

Expected detections: ~0.0

Strong wind (6.8 m/s)↑
Outside the fire season↓

Sun15°

Mon5°

Tue8°

Wed13°

Thu17°

Fri18°

Sat21°

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Low

<0.1 expected · usual <0.1

Next 3 months

About usual

~0.4 expected · usual 1.4

likely 0.0–3.7 · usual 0.0–1.0

Season

Ends ~21 December
Peak ~16 August

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

early July – mid December

Onset: early July
Peak: mid August
End: mid December

Critical windows

late June – mid September
75% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: −38%/10Raw: +13%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record has no abrupt jump (p 0.25). ODLAR's record has none (p 0.24).

Unusual years

5

2001
51
5.0× the normal annual activity
2010
46
4.6× the normal annual activity
2017
95
9.5× the normal annual activity
peak 14× stronger than normal
2024
2
only 0.2× the normal annual activity
season began 39 weeks late
2026
2
only 0.2× the normal annual activity
season began 30 weeks late

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson