Jalilabad District

Next 7 daysLow10%

Quiet now. The season usually starts late June

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: late June – mid September
Record year: 2002628
Trend: −60%/ 10significant · on raw data: +19%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	450	66
2002	628	177
2003	156	34
2004	430	122
2005	285	69
2006	259	68
2007	146	35
2008	86	18
2009	600	172
2010	176	43
2011	183	42
2012	66	64
2013	254	254
2014	88	88
2015	378	378
2016	342	342
2017	62	62
2018	47	103
2019	275	489
2020	110	231
2021	35	61
2022	77	142
2023	49	86
2024	21	62
2025	74	176
2026	89	275

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

Below normal

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

ODLAR

0.00×

Raw data

0.00×

usual = 1×

This month: 0.0
Usual (median): 1.6
Rank: 21 of 26

Next 7 days

Low

Full risk view

Low

Expected detections: ~0.4

Fires detected in recent days↑
An active part of the fire season↑
This year is more active than normal↑
Humid air (61%)↓

Sun24°

Mon13°

Tue11°

Wed14°

Thu18°

Fri19°

Sat19°

Right now

early November

This week0.0

This week is more active than 26% of past years at this time

Year to date89

#16 of 26 yearsNormal: 154

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Low

~0.4 expected · usual 0.3

Next 3 months

About usual

~7.0 expected · usual 6.5

likely 2.0–29 · usual 0.0–16

Season

Starts ~28 June
Peak ~12 July

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

late June – early October

Onset: late June
Peak: mid July
End: early October

Critical windows

late June – mid September
85% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: −60%/10Raw: +19%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record has no abrupt jump (p 0.10). ODLAR's record changes level in 2017 (p 0.01): a real change, or a trend.

Unusual years

6

2003
156
season began 4 weeks late
2010
176
season began 3 weeks late
2017
62
season began 3 weeks late
2022
77
season ended 23 weeks late
2023
49
season ended 23 weeks late
2026
89
season began 3 weeks late

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson

Jalilabad District

Next 7 daysLow10%

Quiet now. The season usually starts late June

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: late June – mid September
Record year: 2002628
Trend: −60%/ 10significant · on raw data: +19%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	450	66
2002	628	177
2003	156	34
2004	430	122
2005	285	69
2006	259	68
2007	146	35
2008	86	18
2009	600	172
2010	176	43
2011	183	42
2012	66	64
2013	254	254
2014	88	88
2015	378	378
2016	342	342
2017	62	62
2018	47	103
2019	275	489
2020	110	231
2021	35	61
2022	77	142
2023	49	86
2024	21	62
2025	74	176
2026	89	275

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

Below normal

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

ODLAR

0.00×

Raw data

0.00×

usual = 1×

This month: 0.0
Usual (median): 1.6
Rank: 21 of 26

Next 7 days

Low

Full risk view

Low

Expected detections: ~0.4

Fires detected in recent days↑
An active part of the fire season↑
This year is more active than normal↑
Humid air (61%)↓

Sun24°

Mon13°

Tue11°

Wed14°

Thu18°

Fri19°

Sat19°

Right now

early November

This week0.0

This week is more active than 26% of past years at this time

Year to date89

#16 of 26 yearsNormal: 154

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Low

~0.4 expected · usual 0.3

Next 3 months

About usual

~7.0 expected · usual 6.5

likely 2.0–29 · usual 0.0–16

Season

Starts ~28 June
Peak ~12 July

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

late June – early October

Onset: late June
Peak: mid July
End: early October

Critical windows

late June – mid September
85% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: −60%/10Raw: +19%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record has no abrupt jump (p 0.10). ODLAR's record changes level in 2017 (p 0.01): a real change, or a trend.

Unusual years

6

2003
156
season began 4 weeks late
2010
176
season began 3 weeks late
2017
62
season began 3 weeks late
2022
77
season ended 23 weeks late
2023
49
season ended 23 weeks late
2026
89
season began 3 weeks late

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson