Ganja City

Next 7 daysLow0%

Quiet now. The season usually starts early February

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: mid June – early September
Record year: 201913
Trend: −8%/ 10not significant · on raw data: +71%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	5	0
2002	5	1
2003	4	0
2004	5	0
2005	4	0
2006	4	0
2007	4	0
2008	3	0
2009	3	0
2010	4	0
2011	7	1
2012	0	0
2013	4	4
2014	4	4
2015	6	6
2016	2	2
2017	2	2
2018	6	14
2019	13	23
2020	2	3
2021	7	22
2022	3	11
2023	2	3
2024	3	8
2025	6	22
2026	3	9

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

Quiet, as usual

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

This month: 0.0
Usual (median): 0.0
Rank: 12 of 26

Next 7 days

Low

Full risk view

Low

Expected detections: ~0.0

Outside the fire season↓

Sun22°

Mon12°

Tue10°

Wed14°

Thu15°

Fri18°

Sat15°

Right now

early November

This week0.0

This week is more active than 28% of past years at this time

Year to date3

#17 of 26 yearsNormal: 4

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Low

<0.1 expected · usual <0.1

Next 3 months

About usual

~0.0 expected · usual 0.3

likely 0.0–0.9 · usual 0.0–0.6

Season

Starts ~1 February
Peak ~12 July

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

early February – early September

Onset: early February
Peak: mid July
End: early September

Critical windows

mid June – early September
70% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: −8%/10Raw: +71%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2013 to 57.2× its earlier level (p < 0.001). ODLAR's record has none (p 1.00).

Unusual years

11

2011
7
peak 3.4× stronger than normal
2014
4
season ended 6 weeks early
2016
2
season began 23 weeks late
2017
2
season began 30 weeks late
2018
6
peak 6.0× stronger than normal
season began 21 weeks late
season ended 8 weeks early
2019
13
3.3× the normal annual activity
peak 9.0× stronger than normal
season began 22 weeks late
2020
2
season began 21 weeks late
season ended 9 weeks early
2021
7
peak 4.0× stronger than normal
2022
3
season ended 6 weeks late
2024
3
season ended 10 weeks early
2025
6
peak 3.0× stronger than normal

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson

Ganja City

Next 7 daysLow0%

Quiet now. The season usually starts early February

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: mid June – early September
Record year: 201913
Trend: −8%/ 10not significant · on raw data: +71%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	5	0
2002	5	1
2003	4	0
2004	5	0
2005	4	0
2006	4	0
2007	4	0
2008	3	0
2009	3	0
2010	4	0
2011	7	1
2012	0	0
2013	4	4
2014	4	4
2015	6	6
2016	2	2
2017	2	2
2018	6	14
2019	13	23
2020	2	3
2021	7	22
2022	3	11
2023	2	3
2024	3	8
2025	6	22
2026	3	9

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

Quiet, as usual

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

This month: 0.0
Usual (median): 0.0
Rank: 12 of 26

Next 7 days

Low

Full risk view

Low

Expected detections: ~0.0

Outside the fire season↓

Sun22°

Mon12°

Tue10°

Wed14°

Thu15°

Fri18°

Sat15°

Right now

early November

This week0.0

This week is more active than 28% of past years at this time

Year to date3

#17 of 26 yearsNormal: 4

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Low

<0.1 expected · usual <0.1

Next 3 months

About usual

~0.0 expected · usual 0.3

likely 0.0–0.9 · usual 0.0–0.6

Season

Starts ~1 February
Peak ~12 July

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

early February – early September

Onset: early February
Peak: mid July
End: early September

Critical windows

mid June – early September
70% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: −8%/10Raw: +71%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2013 to 57.2× its earlier level (p < 0.001). ODLAR's record has none (p 1.00).

Unusual years

11

2011
7
peak 3.4× stronger than normal
2014
4
season ended 6 weeks early
2016
2
season began 23 weeks late
2017
2
season began 30 weeks late
2018
6
peak 6.0× stronger than normal
season began 21 weeks late
season ended 8 weeks early
2019
13
3.3× the normal annual activity
peak 9.0× stronger than normal
season began 22 weeks late
2020
2
season began 21 weeks late
season ended 9 weeks early
2021
7
peak 4.0× stronger than normal
2022
3
season ended 6 weeks late
2024
3
season ended 10 weeks early
2025
6
peak 3.0× stronger than normal

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson