Saraikela-Kharsawan

Next 7 daysExtreme100%

Fire season starts in about 3 weeks

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: early February – late April
Record year: 20211,070
Trend: +29%/ 10not significant · on raw data: +79%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	338	4
2002	188	0
2003	144	1
2004	387	21
2005	148	2
2006	241	9
2007	222	5
2008	258	12
2009	297	14
2010	469	28
2011	236	8
2012	118	107
2013	332	332
2014	290	290
2015	335	335
2016	502	502
2017	281	281
2018	315	335
2019	173	313
2020	100	222
2021	1070	2185
2022	158	417
2023	570	1256
2024	499	1049
2025	838	1768
2026	772	3103

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

One of the highest on record

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

ODLAR

3.5×

Raw data

› 71.0×

usual = 1×

This month: 21
Usual (median): 6.1
Rank: 1 of 26

Raw satellite data would say 71.0× the usual, because it joins MODIS and VIIRS as they are and VIIRS sees far more small fires. Corrected, it is 3.5×.

Next 7 days

Extreme

Full risk view

Extreme

Expected detections: ~33.0

Fires detected in recent days↑
An active part of the fire season↑
This year is more active than normal↑

Sun28°

Mon29°

Tue28°

Wed27°

Thu26°

Fri25°

Sat25°

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Extreme

~33 expected · usual 3.7

Next 3 months

About usual

~71 expected · usual 66

likely 29–221 · usual 10–117

Season

Starts ~30 November
Peak ~8 March

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

late November – mid April

Onset: late November
Peak: early March
End: mid April

Critical windows

early February – late April
73% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: +29%/10Raw: +79%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2013 to 40.6× its earlier level (p < 0.001). ODLAR's record has none (p 0.40).

Unusual years

9

2002
188
season ended 3 weeks late
2005
148
season ended 4 weeks late
2013
332
season began 14 weeks late
2015
335
season ended 4 weeks early
2016
502
season began 14 weeks late
2017
281
season began 14 weeks late
2018
315
season ended 3 weeks early
2021
1,070
3.7× the normal annual activity
peak 6.2× stronger than normal
season began 13 weeks late
season ended 3 weeks early
2026
772
season ended 4 weeks early

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson