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Data through 14 November 2026 · made 15 November 2026

Fire report

Sahibganj

Jhārkhand · India

Quiet now. The season usually starts late February

November vs a usual year

Quiet, as usual

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

This month
0.0
Usual (median)
0.0
Rank
12 of 26

Key numbers

Annual mean
310
Peak period
early February – early May
Record year
2004
551
Trend
+15% / 10
on raw data: +105%

Burning calendar, week by week (harmonized detections)

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: +15%/10Raw: +105%/10
HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2012 to 16.1× its earlier level (p < 0.001). ODLAR's record has none (p 0.21).

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Low

~0.1 expected · usual 0.2

Next 3 months

About usual

~8.4 expected · usual 9.1

likely 0.7–14 · usual 0.0–18

Season

  • Starts ~22 February
  • Peak ~15 March
ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week
How sure is this?
  • Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
  • Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
  • Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
  • Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

About this report

Counts are NASA FIRMS active-fire detections (MODIS since 2000, VIIRS since 2012) put on one scale (harmonized), so years before and after 2012 can be compared.

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires. Clouds and smoke hide some fires; hatched weeks had no satellite observation.

Weather: Open-Meteo forecast and NASA POWER history. Forecast reliability is from tests on past years the models never saw.

Source: ODLAR, https://odlar.app/region/in-jharkhand-sahibganj