Ranchi

Next 7 daysExtreme95%

Quiet now. The season usually starts early February

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: mid February – early May
Record year: 20211,001
Trend: +6%/ 10not significant · on raw data: +86%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	263	4
2002	168	2
2003	133	2
2004	446	37
2005	433	26
2006	286	25
2007	183	6
2008	419	33
2009	652	58
2010	741	60
2011	627	50
2012	83	75
2013	318	318
2014	217	217
2015	260	260
2016	684	684
2017	585	585
2018	319	370
2019	88	188
2020	60	136
2021	1001	2033
2022	242	562
2023	480	933
2024	243	483
2025	327	684
2026	357	1226

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

One of the highest on record

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

ODLAR

› 11.7×

usual = 1×

This month: 17
Usual (median): 1.4
Rank: 1 of 26

Next 7 days

Extreme

Full risk view

Extreme

Expected detections: ~5.3

Fires detected in recent days↑
An active part of the fire season↑
This year is more active than normal↑

Sun28°

Mon28°

Tue26°

Wed25°

Thu24°

Fri24°

Sat24°

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Extreme

~5.3 expected · usual 1.1

Next 3 months

Busier than usual

~50 expected · usual 36

likely 12–177 · usual 0.0–98

Season

Starts ~8 February
Peak ~22 March

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

early February – late April

Onset: early February
Peak: late March
End: late April

Critical windows

mid February – early May
86% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: +6%/10Raw: +86%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2013 to 18.2× its earlier level (p < 0.001). ODLAR's record has none (p 1.00).

Unusual years

11

2002
168
season ended 3 weeks late
2005
433
season ended 4 weeks late
2011
627
season ended 3 weeks early
2012
83
only 0.3× the normal annual activity
season ended 3 weeks late
2013
318
season ended 3 weeks early
2015
260
season ended 4 weeks early
2019
88
only 0.3× the normal annual activity
2020
60
only 0.2× the normal annual activity
2021
1,001
season ended 4 weeks early
2025
327
season ended 4 weeks early
2026
357
season began 16 weeks early

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson