Ramgarh

Next 7 daysExtreme97%

Fire season: about 24 weeks left · 5.8× the usual for this week

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: early February – mid April
Record year: 2025765
Trend: +9%/ 10not significant · on raw data: +117%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	290	1
2002	254	1
2003	205	0
2004	272	5
2005	286	5
2006	364	15
2007	207	0
2008	250	2
2009	368	12
2010	428	19
2011	351	14
2012	123	107
2013	149	149
2014	206	206
2015	252	252
2016	332	332
2017	241	241
2018	234	290
2019	275	414
2020	185	327
2021	413	767
2022	290	661
2023	326	700
2024	289	660
2025	765	1544
2026	616	2214

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

One of the highest on record

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

ODLAR

3.8×

Raw data

› 34.5×

usual = 1×

This month: 36
Usual (median): 9.5
Rank: 1 of 26

Raw satellite data would say 34.5× the usual, because it joins MODIS and VIIRS as they are and VIIRS sees far more small fires. Corrected, it is 3.8×.

Next 7 days

Extreme

Full risk view

Extreme

Expected detections: ~22.2

Fires detected in recent days↑
An active part of the fire season↑
This year is more active than normal↑

Sun28°

Mon29°

Tue26°

Wed25°

Thu25°

Fri25°

Sat24°

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Extreme

~22 expected · usual 4.3

Next 3 months

Busier than usual

~106 expected · usual 85

likely 53–214 · usual 29–139

Season

Ends ~26 April
Peak ~8 March

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

late October – late April

Onset: late October
Peak: early March
End: late April

Critical windows

early February – mid April
55% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: +9%/10Raw: +117%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2013 to 33.4× its earlier level (p < 0.001). ODLAR's record has none (p 0.44).

Unusual years

4

2012
122
only 0.5× the normal annual activity
season began 9 weeks early
2013
149
only 0.5× the normal annual activity
2025
765
2.8× the normal annual activity
2026
616
2.2× the normal annual activity

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson