Purbi Singhbhum

Next 7 daysExtreme100%

Fire season starts in about 5 weeks

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: early February – late April
Record year: 20211,217
Trend: +17%/ 10not significant · on raw data: +85%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	634	27
2002	479	35
2003	240	27
2004	327	29
2005	187	18
2006	360	38
2007	178	14
2008	208	18
2009	367	48
2010	722	73
2011	273	32
2012	243	230
2013	467	467
2014	434	434
2015	513	513
2016	596	596
2017	365	365
2018	756	813
2019	159	299
2020	267	588
2021	1217	2536
2022	256	607
2023	1115	2318
2024	402	875
2025	419	842
2026	644	2686

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

One of the highest on record

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

ODLAR

› 20.6×

Raw data

› 67.0×

usual = 1×

This month: 41
Usual (median): 2.0
Rank: 1 of 26

Raw satellite data would say 67.0× the usual, because it joins MODIS and VIIRS as they are and VIIRS sees far more small fires. Corrected, it is 20.6×.

Next 7 days

Extreme

Full risk view

Extreme

Expected detections: ~29.9

Fires detected in recent days↑
An active part of the fire season↑
This year is more active than normal↑

Sun28°

Mon29°

Tue28°

Wed27°

Thu26°

Fri25°

Sat25°

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Extreme

~30 expected · usual 4.0

Next 3 months

About usual

~82 expected · usual 75

likely 35–225 · usual 16–146

Season

Starts ~14 December
Peak ~8 March

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

mid December – mid April

Onset: mid December
Peak: early March
End: mid April

Critical windows

early February – late April
78% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: +17%/10Raw: +85%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2013 to 17.6× its earlier level (p < 0.001). ODLAR's record has none (p 0.44).

Unusual years

3

2002
479
season ended 6 weeks late
2021
1,217
3.3× the normal annual activity
peak 5.2× stronger than normal
2023
1,115
3.0× the normal annual activity

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson