Palamu

Next 7 daysLow2%

Quiet now. The season usually starts mid March

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: early March – late May
Record year: 2010915
Trend: +11%/ 10not significant · on raw data: +85%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	184	3
2002	196	6
2003	116	11
2004	165	19
2005	73	5
2006	396	81
2007	67	8
2008	254	35
2009	344	56
2010	915	170
2011	112	11
2012	147	146
2013	189	189
2014	32	32
2015	134	134
2016	266	266
2017	160	160
2018	282	350
2019	126	293
2020	18	51
2021	756	1536
2022	480	972
2023	232	479
2024	178	382
2025	245	461
2026	192	576

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

Quiet, as usual

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

This month: 0.0
Usual (median): 0.0
Rank: 13 of 26

Next 7 days

Low

Full risk view

Low

Expected detections: ~0.1

No rain expected in the coming days↑
An active part of the fire season↑
This year is quieter than normal↓

Sun29°

Mon30°

Tue26°

Wed25°

Thu24°

Fri25°

Sat25°

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Low

~0.1 expected · usual 0.3

Next 3 months

Quieter than usual

~5.8 expected · usual 8.8

likely 0.9–18 · usual 0.0–21

Season

Starts ~15 March
Peak ~29 March

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

mid March – late April

Onset: mid March
Peak: late March
End: late April

Critical windows

early March – late May
93% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: +11%/10Raw: +85%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2012 to 10.6× its earlier level (p 0.003). ODLAR's record has none (p 0.68).

Unusual years

9

2001
184
season began 13 weeks early
2002
196
season began 8 weeks early
2005
73
season began 9 weeks early
2006
396
season began 5 weeks early
2007
67
season began 17 weeks early
2010
915
5.0× the normal annual activity
peak 6.7× stronger than normal
2011
112
season began 3 weeks early
2014
32
only 0.2× the normal annual activity
2021
756
4.1× the normal annual activity
peak 6.0× stronger than normal

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson