Pakur

Next 7 daysLow5%

Quiet now. The season usually starts late February

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: early February – early May
Record year: 2009173
Trend: −2%/ 10not significant · on raw data: +98%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	165	5
2002	84	1
2003	53	2
2004	156	13
2005	103	10
2006	109	11
2007	64	3
2008	75	5
2009	173	15
2010	141	10
2011	87	7
2012	62	61
2013	57	57
2014	68	68
2015	79	79
2016	98	98
2017	69	69
2018	81	106
2019	87	183
2020	53	96
2021	167	328
2022	99	182
2023	169	337
2024	60	125
2025	138	275
2026	37	156

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

Quiet, as usual

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

This month: 0.0
Usual (median): 0.0
Rank: 12 of 26

Next 7 days

Low

Full risk view

Low

Expected detections: ~0.4

An active part of the fire season↑
No rain expected in the coming days↑
Fires detected in recent days↑
This year is quieter than normal↓

Sun28°

Mon29°

Tue27°

Wed26°

Thu27°

Fri27°

Sat26°

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Low

~0.4 expected · usual 0.3

Next 3 months

Busier than usual

~6.4 expected · usual 3.3

likely 3.3–14 · usual 0.0–6.9

Season

Starts ~22 February
Peak ~8 March

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

late February – early April

Onset: late February
Peak: early March
End: early April

Critical windows

early February – early May
94% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: −2%/10Raw: +98%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2014 to 10.5× its earlier level (p < 0.001). ODLAR's record has none (p 0.98).

Unusual years

8

2002
84
season began 3 weeks early
season ended 3 weeks late
2003
53
season began 4 weeks early
2007
64
season ended 6 weeks late
2014
68
season began 3 weeks late
2015
79
season ended 3 weeks late
2020
53
season began 5 weeks late
2022
99
season began 3 weeks late
2026
37
season began 4 weeks late
season ended 5 weeks late

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson