Hazaribagh

Next 7 daysExtreme97%

Fire season starts in about 4 weeks

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: mid February – early May
Record year: 20211,368
Trend: +29%/ 10not significant · on raw data: +104%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	455	5
2002	282	1
2003	312	11
2004	493	26
2005	296	9
2006	414	27
2007	206	2
2008	323	10
2009	612	38
2010	743	67
2011	595	51
2012	156	144
2013	575	575
2014	237	237
2015	259	259
2016	715	715
2017	475	475
2018	734	796
2019	722	1078
2020	126	208
2021	1368	2595
2022	444	1072
2023	561	1062
2024	512	949
2025	869	1967
2026	936	2828

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

One of the highest on record

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

ODLAR

› 4.1×

Raw data

› 35.0×

usual = 1×

This month: 34
Usual (median): 8.2
Rank: 1 of 26

Raw satellite data would say 35.0× the usual, because it joins MODIS and VIIRS as they are and VIIRS sees far more small fires. Corrected, it is 4.1×.

Next 7 days

Extreme

Full risk view

Extreme

Expected detections: ~22.9

Fires detected in recent days↑
An active part of the fire season↑
This year is more active than normal↑

Sun28°

Mon29°

Tue26°

Wed25°

Thu25°

Fri25°

Sat24°

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Extreme

~23 expected · usual 5.4

Next 3 months

About usual

~62 expected · usual 65

likely 20–213 · usual 2.8–125

Season

Starts ~7 December
Peak ~22 March

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

early December – mid April

Onset: early December
Peak: late March
End: mid April

Critical windows

mid February – early May
78% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: +29%/10Raw: +104%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2013 to 28.3× its earlier level (p < 0.001). ODLAR's record has none (p 0.24).

Unusual years

10

2001
455
season ended 3 weeks late
2002
282
season ended 5 weeks late
2007
206
season ended 3 weeks late
2011
595
season ended 4 weeks early
2014
237
season began 12 weeks late
2015
259
season began 12 weeks late
season ended 3 weeks early
2017
475
season began 14 weeks late
2020
126
only 0.3× the normal annual activity
2021
1,368
season began 12 weeks late
season ended 3 weeks early
2025
869
season ended 3 weeks early

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson