Godda

Next 7 daysExtreme81%

Fire season starts in about 6 weeks

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: early February – late April
Record year: 2025686
Trend: −1%/ 10not significant · on raw data: +98%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	489	14
2002	559	23
2003	193	11
2004	483	47
2005	266	18
2006	411	39
2007	210	15
2008	327	26
2009	288	26
2010	482	48
2011	329	25
2012	529	500
2013	195	195
2014	204	204
2015	114	114
2016	263	263
2017	645	645
2018	402	513
2019	292	639
2020	145	254
2021	524	954
2022	340	632
2023	379	663
2024	256	532
2025	686	1394
2026	440	1637

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

One of the highest on record

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

ODLAR

› 5.9×

usual = 1×

This month: 8.6
Usual (median): 1.5
Rank: 3 of 26

Next 7 days

Extreme

Full risk view

Extreme

Expected detections: ~5.7

An active part of the fire season↑
Fires detected in recent days↑
This year is more active than normal↑

Sun29°

Mon29°

Tue27°

Wed27°

Thu27°

Fri26°

Sat26°

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Extreme

~5.7 expected · usual 1.8

Next 3 months

About usual

~50 expected · usual 46

likely 15–185 · usual 0.0–159

Season

Starts ~21 December
Peak ~15 March

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

mid December – mid April

Onset: mid December
Peak: mid March
End: mid April

Critical windows

early February – late April
80% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: −1%/10Raw: +98%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2012 to 20.2× its earlier level (p < 0.001). ODLAR's record has none (p 1.00).

Unusual years

4

2011
329
season ended 9 weeks late
2017
645
season began 19 weeks early
season ended 7 weeks late
2022
340
peak 1.9× stronger than normal
2025
686
peak 2.4× stronger than normal

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson