Garhwa

Next 7 daysLow1%

Quiet now. The season usually starts mid March

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: late February – mid May
Record year: 20102,538
Trend: +13%/ 10not significant · on raw data: +74%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	224	6
2002	182	5
2003	261	39
2004	148	17
2005	106	8
2006	190	27
2007	66	8
2008	295	43
2009	586	94
2010	2538	391
2011	415	64
2012	225	220
2013	282	282
2014	97	97
2015	440	440
2016	244	244
2017	500	500
2018	372	471
2019	244	527
2020	19	39
2021	1185	2508
2022	666	1404
2023	153	292
2024	197	386
2025	344	702
2026	404	993

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

Quiet, as usual

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

This month: 0.0
Usual (median): 0.0
Rank: 13 of 26

Next 7 days

Low

Full risk view

Low

Expected detections: ~0.1

No rain expected in the coming days↑
No rain for 12 days↑
No fires in recent days↓

Sun29°

Mon30°

Tue26°

Wed25°

Thu24°

Fri25°

Sat25°

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Low

~0.1 expected · usual 0.2

Next 3 months

About usual

~3.2 expected · usual 2.5

likely 0.0–10 · usual 0.0–6.2

Season

Starts ~15 March
Peak ~29 March

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

mid March – late April

Onset: mid March
Peak: late March
End: late April

Critical windows

late February – mid May
96% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: +13%/10Raw: +74%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2010 to 19.5× its earlier level (p 0.002). ODLAR's record has none (p 0.17).

Unusual years

6

2001
224
season began 16 weeks early
2002
182
season began 4 weeks early
2006
190
season began 3 weeks early
2009
586
season began 3 weeks early
2010
2,538
10× the normal annual activity
peak 13× stronger than normal
2021
1,185
4.9× the normal annual activity

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson